Sunday night 6/27 11:30 pm cdt…Alex has intensified back into a tropical storm as it exits between the Mexican provinces of Campeche and Tabasco into the Bay of Campeche (extreme southwestern Gulf of Mexico).
Currently, an unexpected development – Alex is hung up near the coast, possibly due to wind speed differences aloft because of sea and land frictional differences. If Alex was a landfalling hurricane (versus a strengthening tropical storm) it might get pulled into land. If Alex escapes the coast as expected, and it spends 2 or 3 days over the Bay of Campeche (extreme SW Gulf of Mexico), Alex could achieve Cat 2 status with an ouside chance of Cat 3 strength. Landfall continues to be projected along the northeastern coast of Mexico Wednesday or Thursday, well south of Brownsville, Texas.