Monthly Archive

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. A LARGE AND COMPLEX AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ...ASSOCIATED WITH TWO
TROPICAL WAVES...EXTENDS FROM THE LESSER ANTILLES EASTWARD INTO THE
ATLANTIC FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES.  THIS SYSTEM SHOWS SOME SIGNS
OF ORGANIZATION...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD
TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.  THERE IS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

2. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY EXTENDS FROM NORTHERN HONDURAS
ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND JAMAICA TO HISPANIOLA IN ASSOCIATION
WITH A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE.  THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF
ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME...AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.  REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE
POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO ACROSS NORTHERN CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...JAMAICA...AND HISPANIOLA.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU SEP 30 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...ASSOCIATED WITH TWO TROPICAL
WAVES...IS CENTERED ABOUT 600 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THIS AREA ARE HAVE BECOME SLIGHTLY
BETTER ORGANIZED...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.  THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
326 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

.SHORT TERM...(THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)...
THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND
INDICATE THE HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER PATTERN REMAINING IN PLACE OVER
THE CONUS WITH A BROAD TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN STATES AND RIDGING
OUT WEST. PRIMARY UPPER FLOW WILL BECOME WEST AND NORTHWEST OVER
THE REGION AS THE MEAN UPPER TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS EAST. AT THE
SURFACE...TC NICOLE WILL QUICKLY LIFT NORTH OVER THE EASTERN HALF
OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TONIGHT...OUT ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
WATERS...THEN BACK ASHORE OVER THE CAROLINAS TOMORROW. PLENTY OF
DEEP LAYER DRY AIR AND SUBSIDENCE OVER THE LOCAL AREA WILL KEEP THE
ENVIRONMENT SUPPRESSED THROUGH THIS PERIOD. THE ONLY MENTION OF
SHOWERS WILL BE THROUGH THE TONIGHT PERIOD AS WE REMAIN JUST ON
THE WESTERN FRINGE OF THE LARGE MOISTURE PLUME STREAMING NORTH
FROM TC NICOLE. A BLEND OF THE NUMERICAL GUIDANCE KEEPS ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED SHOWER PROBABILITIES THROUGH THIS FIRST PERIOD.
BEYOND THIS PERIOD...DEEP LAYER DRY AIR WILL ADVANCE FURTHER EAST
ACROSS THE CWA...WHICH WILL DECREASE THE MOISTURE AND RAINFALL
CHANCES INTO THE WEEKEND. A BLEND OF THE GUIDANCE OUTPUT HIGH
TEMPERATURES REACHING THE MID 80S WITH LOWS DIPPING INTO THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S.

.LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)...
UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL REMAIN AMPLIFIED ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE NATION. WHAT A DIFFERENCE A WEEK CAN MAKE IN TERMS OF
TEMPERATURE. IT WAS JUST A FEW DAYS AGO THAT WE CONTINUED TO SEE
WELL ABOVE AVERAGE SUMMER-LIKE HIGH TEMPS IN THE MIDDLE 90S. NOW THE
EXTENDED FORECAST IS FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPS...AND AT TIMES WELL
BELOW NORMAL READINGS. GLOBAL MODELS IN AGREEMENT IN BRINGING
ANOTHER STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH SOUTHWARD FROM THE GREAT LAKES
DURING THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. THIS ENERGY WILL CLOSE OVER THE OHIO/TN
VALLEYS...AND THEN HOLD IN PLACE THROUGH THE EARLY PORTION OF NEXT
WEEK.

OVERALL...THE POSITION OF THIS TROUGH/CLOSED LOW WILL KEEP MOST OF
THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER (IN TERMS OF RAINFALL POTENTIAL) TO OUR
NORTH AND EAST. HOWEVER...THE BIG IMPACT WILL BE THE INFLUENCE OF
THE ASSOCIATED COLD POOL ALOFT ON OUR TEMPERATURES. HIGH TEMPS ON
SATURDAY WILL BE NEAR NORMAL WITH THE SYSTEM STILL WELL TO OUR
NORTH...THEN BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY...WE DROP BELOW NORMAL. HIGH TEMPS
OVER OUR NORTHERN ZONES FROM DOTHAN TO ALBANY MAY STRUGGLE TO REACH" onClick="return popup(this, 'notes')">REACH
80 EARLY NEXT WEEK...DESPITE AMPLE SUNSHINE. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL
ALSO TAKE A TUMBLE WITH WIDESPREAD 50S. IT IS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE
THAT BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY NIGHTS...A FEW NORMALLY COLDER SPOTS WILL
REACH THE UPPER 40S.

ANOTHER POTENTIAL IMPACT WILL BE MARINE WINDS/SEAS. THE NORTHERLY
FLOW OF COOLER AIR WILL BRING RATHER BREEZY CONDITIONS TO THE
NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO. GFS AND ECMWF DO NOT COMPLETELY AGREE ON
THE DETAIL OF THE SURFACE PATTERN...WITH THE GFS SHOWING A MUCH
TIGHTER GRADIENT...AND SOLID ADVISORY LEVEL CONDITIONS FOR EARLY
NEXT WEEK...AND THE ECMWF BEING LESS AGGRESSIVE. HAVE GONE WITH A
BLEND OF THESE TWO RELIABLE GUIDANCE SUITES UNTIL BETTER AGREEMENT
IS REACHED...HOWEVER EVEN THIS BLEND BRINGS NEAR ADVISORY LEVEL WIND
TO OUR WATERS FOR SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

MARINE...MODERATE NORTHERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE
MARINE AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS THE TROPICAL
STORM NICOLE...CURRENTLY SOUTH OF THE KEYS...TRACKS NORTHEAST
OVER THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. A FEW PERIODS MAY REACH CAUTIONARY LEVELS AS THIS
TROPICAL FEATURE PASSES THE MARINE AREA WELL TO THE EAST. WITH THE
OFFSHORE FLOW IN PLACE...EXPECT THE HIGHEST SEAS TO REMAIN FURTHER
OFFSHORE AND AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS. WINDS AND SEAS
MAY BECOME CHOPPIER IN AND AROUND MODERATE SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...MAINLY OVER THE BIG BEND WATERS.

&&

.AVIATION...
+SHRA/+RA AND A DENSE CLOUD SHIELD ARE CONTINUING TO IMPACT VLD AND
THE ERN PORTION OF THE REGION. CIGS AND VIS WILL REMAIN AT IFR OR
LIFR IN +RA. RADAR TRENDS INDICATE THAT THE +SHRA/+RA WILL PERSIST
FOR AT LEAST 2-3 MORE HRS. +RA HAS MANAGED TO STAY CONFINED TO THE
ERN PORTION OF THE REGION AND HAS NOT IMPACTED THE ABY OR TLH
TERMINALS THIS AFTERNOON...BUT MORE CLOUDS FROM THE SHIELD TO THE
EAST ARE BEGINNING TO IMPACT THOSE TWO TERMINALS. FOR NOW...THE WRN
TERMINALS OF DHN AND ECP STILL REMAIN CLOUD FREE WITH VFR
CONDITIONS. OVERNIGHT...EXPECT CIGS/VIS TO CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE
AT VLD...POSSIBLY BOTTOMING OUT TO AIRPORT MINIMUMS. BR WILL ALSO
DEVELOP AT ABY AND POSSIBLY TLH IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AS WELL.
VFR SKIES WILL EVENTUALLY PREVAIL MID MORNING FOR ALL TERMINALS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR MUCH OF THE
REGION...PROMPTING A RED FLAG WARNING FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND A
FIRE WX WATCH OF FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE WESTERNMOST PORTION
OF THE FL PANHANDLE. CONDITIONS WILL BE DRY ACROSS SRN AL AND SRN GA
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS WELL...HOWEVER...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL STAY SLIGHTLY ABOVE CRITICAL FIRE WX LEVELS. WARNINGS AND
WATCHES ARE POSSIBLE EVERY AFTERNOON THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY NEXT
WEEK FOR PORTIONS OF THE FL PANHANDLE.

During the second half of this decade, the Northern Lights are becoming more rare than at any other time in more than a century, according to the Finnish Meteorological Institute.

The Northern Lights, or Aurora Borealis, generally follow an 11-year solar-cycle, in which the frequency of the phenomena rises to a maximum and then tapers off into a minimum and then repeats the cycle.

They’re triggered by solar winds crashing into the earth and being drawn to the magnetic poles, wreaking havoc on electrons in the parts of the atmosphere known as the ionosphere and magnetosphere.

So a dimming of the Northern Lights is a signal that activity on the sun – which causes solar winds (such as solar flares and sun sports) – is also quieting down.

During the cycle’s peak in 2003, the observing station on Norway’s Svalbard Island (near the North Pole), showed that the Northern Lights were visible almost every single night of the auroral season.

That number has fallen to less than 50%.

As a new solar cycle of activity begins this year, the Earth will once again be bombarded with increased radiation from the sun.

This effect may damage satellites and interfere with GPS, television and communications… and increase the frequency of the Northern Lights.

Forecasters may never know just how hot it got in Los Angeles during a day of record-breaking heat: After the temperature soared to 113 degrees in downtown, the thermometer took the rest of the day off!

“It just kind of quit functioning, but the temperature had already peaked,” National Weather Service forecaster Stuart Seto said Tuesday of the blistering weather a day earlier. “We doubt that it went over 113.”

The fall heat wave pushed temperatures well over 100 degrees from Anaheim, home of Disneyland, to San Luis Obispo, Santa Cruz and Salinas on the usually balmy central coast. Many records were set or tied.

Clouds should help to keep the heat at more reasonable levels on Wednesday.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN DISCUSSION NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162010
500 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS FOUND THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER
CONSISTED OF A BROAD AREA OF LIGHT WINDS AND NEARLY UNIFORM
PRESSURE.  INDEED...WINDS WERE 20 KT OR LESS WITHIN 100 N MI OR
MORE OF THE CENTER.  CLEARLY...THIS IS NOT A CLASSICAL TROPICAL
CYCLONE AND THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE LOCATED SOME 200 N MI SOUTHEAST
OF THE CENTER.  OBSERVATIONS FROM NOAA DATA BUOY 42057 FROM EARLY
THIS MORNING AND ASCAT DATA FROM AROUND 1500 UTC SUGGESTED THAT THE
SYSTEM MAY HAVE BEEN A MARGINAL TROPICAL STORM EARLIER TODAY.  THERE
IS SOME QUESTION...HOWEVER...AS TO WHETHER THOSE WINDS WERE
REPRESENTATIVE OF THE CYCLONE SCALE.  IN ANY EVENT...RECENT
HURRICANE HUNTER DATA SHOWS NO EVIDENCE OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS AT THIS TIME.  THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION IS NOT VERY
IMPRESSIVE...WITH RAGGED-LOOKING BANDING FEATURES AND VERY LITTLE
DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER.  SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL
SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVING
OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES...ALONG WITH THE CURRENT
STRUCTURE OF THE CYCLONE...SHOULD LIMIT INTENSIFICATION OVER THE
NEXT DAY OR SO.   THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS A LITTLE HIGHER
THAN THE LATEST STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL LGEM PREDICTION.  GLOBAL
MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM SHOULD MERGE WITH A FRONT
AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN ABOUT 36 TO 48 HOURS.  AFTER THAT...THE
MODELS ALSO SHOW WHAT APPEARS TO BE A NEW BAROCLINIC DEVELOPMENT TO
THE NORTH REPLACING THE FORMER TROPICAL CYCLONE...SO DISSIPATION IS
EXPECTED BY 72 HOURS.

BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AIRCRAFT...SURFACE...AND SATELLITE DATA THE
CENTER HAS BEEN RELOCATED SLIGHTLY TO THE WEST OF THE PREVIOUS
TRACK.  NO SIGNIFICANT MODIFICATIONS HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE TRACK
FORECAST OR SYNOPTIC REASONING.  A CONTINUED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
MOTION WITH ACCELERATION...BETWEEN THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH AND A
MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...IS EXPECTED UNTIL
THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES.  THE TRACK FORECAST IS NOW A LITTLE TO THE
EAST OF THE MODEL CONSENSUS BUT QUITE CLOSE TO THE NEW U.K. MET.
OFFICE AND ECMWF GLOBAL MODEL TRACKS.

UNLESS THE CIRCULATION OF THE CYCLONE TIGHTENS UP SOON...THE EXACT
TRACK OF THE CENTER ACROSS CUBA AND FLORIDA WILL BE RELATIVELY
UNIMPORTANT...SINCE THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HEAVIEST RAINS WILL
OCCUR WELL REMOVED FROM THE CENTER OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE.
 

TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW DISCUSSION NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152010
1100 PM EDT FRI SEP 24 2010

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MATTHEW HAS NOT WEAKENED MUCH THIS
EVENING.  PUERTO LIMPERA IN EASTERN HONDURAS REPORTED A 10-MINUTE
WIND OF 38-40 KNOTS AT 2300 AND 0000 UTC...AND THE AIRCRAFT FOUND A
850-MB FLIGHT LEVEL WIND MAXIMUM OF 58 KT AND A PEAK SFMR WINDS OF
51 KT OFFSHORE OF THE COAST OF HONDURAS JUST PRIOR TO 0000 UTC. 
BASED ON THESE DATA...AND THE FACT THAT THE CYCLONE HAS BEEN OVER
LAND FOR ANOTHER 3 TO 4 HOURS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET TO 45
KT.  WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WHILE THE CENTER REMAINS OVER
LAND...BUT LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED FROM 12 TO 24
HOURS AS THE CENTER IS FORECAST TO EMERGE INTO THE GULF OF HONDURAS
BEFORE MOVING INTO BELIZE.  BEYOND 24 HOURS...GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
FORECAST AND THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER
GUATEMALA OR EASTERN MEXICO IN 3 OR 4 DAYS.  THE NHC FORECAST IS
CLOSE TO THE DECAY SHIPS AND LGEM THROUGH THE PERIOD. 

SURFACE DATA...SATELLITE FIXES AND RADAR DATA FROM THE AIRCRAFT
SUGGEST THAT THE CENTER OF MATTHEW IS A LITTLE TO THE NORTH OF THE
PREVIOUS TRACK...AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/13.
OVERALL...THE TRACK FORECAST REASONING REMAINS UNCHANGED...AS A
STRONG MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL GENERALLY STEER
MATTHEW WEST-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS OR SO.  BY THE
TIME MATTHEW MOVES INTO GUATEMALA AND MEXICO...THE STEERING FLOW
WILL WEAKEN AS THE RIDGE BREAKS DOWN AND A SLOWER MOTION TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED UNTIL DISSIPATION. THE NEW NHC FORECAST
IS SHIFTED NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS ONE...BUT STILL LIES A LITTLE
SOUTH OF THE CENTER OF THE GUIDANCE SUITE. THE FORWARD SPEED WAS
TRENDED TOWARD THE TVCN MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS. 

A LARGE AREA OF CLOUD TOPS COLDER THAN -80C HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED
NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER OVER PORTIONS OF HONDURAS AND
NICARAGUA...LIKELY PRODUCING EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINFALL IN THESE
AREAS. THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT WILL PERSIST FOR SEVERAL DAYS...EVEN
AFTER MATTHEW WEAKENS.  

FOR THE PAST FEW DAYS GLOBAL MODELS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENTLY DEPICTING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE MOST RECENT RUNS INDICATE THAT ANY
DEVELOPMENT THERE WOULD LIKELY NOT HAVE CONTINUITY WITH MATTHEW...
BUT RATHER REPRESENT THE FORMATION OF A NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE.
 

… don’t be fooled by the notion that the length of day is exactly equal to the length of night.

The true time for that day/night equality always falls after the Autumnal Equinox and before the first day of Spring (the Vernal Equinox).

If you read the previous post from Martha, you already know that the Moon is going to be spectacular tonight.

Take a few minutes to step outside and see for yourself (before the 10 o’clock news!).

For the second day in a row, Dothan missed tieing the record high by 1 degree.

MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLE FOR
SOUTHEAST AL...EASTERN FL PANHANDLE ...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
824 PM EDT TUE SEP 21 2010

HIGH TEMPERATURE TODAY
LOW TEMPERATURE PAST 18 HOURS
24 HOUR PRECIPITATION ENDING AT 8PM EDT / 7PM CDT


.BR TAE 0921 E DH20/TAIRVX/DH20/TAIRVP/PPDRVZ
:AIRPORT OBSERVATIONS - EASTERN TIME ZONE
:AS OF 8PM EDT
:
:                                 MAX   MIN
:                                 TEMP  TEMP   PCPN
:
AAF  : APALACHICOLA ARPT        :  90 /  71 /  0.00
CTY  : CROSS CITY ARPT          :  95 /  62 /  0.02
40J  : PERRY-FOLEY ARPT         :  94 /  66 /  0.03
TLH  : TALLAHASSEE RGNL ARPT    :  96 /  68 /  0.00
ABY  : SOUTHWEST GA ARPT        :  97 /  66 /  0.00
VLD  : VALDOSTA RGNL ARPT       :  94 /  65 /  0.00
TVI  : THOMASVILLE ARPT         :  97 /  68 /  0.00
TMA  : TIFTON ARPT              :  94 /  65 /  0.00
DHN  : DOTHAN RGNL ARPT         :  98 /  69 /  0.00
MAI  : MARIANNA MUNI ARPT       :  99 /  72 /  0.00
ECP  : NORTHWEST FL - INTL ARPT :  93 /  69 /  0.00

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE SEP 21 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM LISA...LOCATED ABOUT 525 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS...AND HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON HURRICANE
IGOR...THAT HAS LOST ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS ABOUT 125 MILES
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ST. JOHNS NEWFOUNDLAND.

1. A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS PRODUCING A LARGE
AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM
MOVES WESTWARD NEAR 15 MPH.  THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY
OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES...AND
THE NORTHERN COASTS OF VENEZUELA AND COLOMBIA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

Opinion time again.

If you saw President Clinton on Letterman last night, talking about “climate change”, and how to “fix” our so-called, “green energy challenge”, please remember that he is a lawyer – or was – and a politician.

The fact that he was our president – and Al Gore our vice-president – gives them absolutely no “inside scoop” about how the weather – or the economy – really works.

Neither one of them has ever run a business, met a payroll, or even taken a beginning class in meteorology.

If the climate really needs “fixing”, we’re in big trouble – because we can’t change it.

And if “green jobs” could really “fix” the economy, smart business guys would be all over it.

But they’re not.

The only people expecting to profit from all those non-existent “green jobs” will be lawyers – and politicians.

Watch and see.

- Connor