You are currently browsing the monthly archive for November 2010.

Heavy rain will continue from time-to-time for the next few hours.

The atmosphere is still capable of producing isolated thunderstorms with strong, gusty winds until well after sunset.

Some areas have already received over 2 inches.

Rain will be ending later tonight and turning much colder by tomorrow morning!

WWUS62 KTAE 301952
WCNTAE

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 758
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
252 PM EST TUE NOV 30 2010

Tornado Watch 758, Previously in Effect Until 3 PM EST /2 Pm Cst/ This Afternoon, is Now in Effect Until 5 PM EST /4 PM Cst/ This Afternoon for The Following Areas.

in alabama this watch includes 5 counties.

in southeast alabama

coffee dale geneva henry houston

in florida this watch includes 7 counties.

in the florida panhandle

bay calhoun gulf holmes jackson walton washington

in georgia this watch includes 11 counties.

in southwest georgia

baker calhoun clay dougherty early lee miller quitman randolph seminole terrell

this includes the cities of, abbeville, albany, arlington,
ashford, blakely, blountstown, bonifay, callaway, chipley,
colquitt, cottonwood, cowarts, crystal lake, cuthbert,
daleville, dawson, de funiak springs, donalsonville,
douglasville, edison, enterprise, five points, fort gaines, fort rucker, geneva, georgetown, graceville, hartford,
headland, hudson, inwood, kinsey, leary, leesburg,
lynn haven, lynn haven, malone, malvern, marianna, morgan,
newton, ozark, panama city, port st. joe, rehobeth, samson, shellman, slocomb, smithville, sneads, taylor,
upper grand lagoon, webb, wewahitchka and white city.

WWUS62 KTAE 301346
WCNTAE

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 758
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
846 AM EST TUE NOV 30 2010

The National Weather Service Has Issued Tornado Watch 758 in Effect Until 3 PM EST /2 PM Cst/ This Afternoon for The Following Areas

in alabama this watch includes 5 counties

in southeast alabama

coffee dale geneva henry houston

in florida this watch includes 7 counties

in the florida panhandle

bay calhoun gulf holmes jackson walton washington

in georgia this watch includes 11 counties

in southwest georgia

baker calhoun clay dougherty early lee miller quitman randolph seminole terrell

this includes the cities of, abbeville, albany, arlington,
ashford, blakely, blountstown, bonifay, callaway, chipley,
colquitt, cottonwood, cowarts, crystal lake, cuthbert,
daleville, dawson, de funiak springs, donalsonville,
douglasville, edison, enterprise, five points, fort gaines, fort rucker, geneva, georgetown, graceville, hartford,
headland, hudson, inwood, kinsey, leary, leesburg,
lynn haven, lynn haven, malone, malvern, marianna, morgan,
newton, ozark, panama city, port st. joe, rehobeth, samson, shellman, slocomb, smithville, sneads, taylor,
upper grand lagoon, webb, wewahitchka and white city.

We’ve got a classic Warm Front, Cold front 2 day rain situation setting up across the Gulf Coast….

Monday AM: Cloudy, Breezy & Mild. Low 60′s with scattered showers

Monday Afternoon: Scattered Showers, Highs around 70 degrees. No severe wx/thunderstorms expected, but we could have some periods of downpours.

Monday Overnight: Overcast & breezy…lows around 67….

Tuesday: Tuesday begins mild and mostly cloudy….temperatures will feel unusually warm. A potent cold front approaches from the west and approaches SW Alabama early AM. The highest threat for damaging winds, hail and isolated tornadoes for the Wiregrass will be between 9 AM and 2 PM.

1-2″ of rain are possible over the 2 day period….chilly, dry air arrives by Wednesday, with highs only in the 50s!

-Martha

Taken by Gina Pitisci, Sunday November 28

Sent from my Droid.

WWUS72 KTAE 280106
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
806 PM EST SAT NOV 27 2010

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161- 281200-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FZ.W.0009.101128T0800Z-101128T1200Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY- RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN- EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…KINSEY…COWARTS…WEBB… COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS…HUDSON…BONIFAY… CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE… MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…
WEWAHITCHKA…QUINCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE…TALLAHASSEE…
SPRING HILL…MONTICELLO…MADISON…GREENVILLE…SWEETWATER… CRAWFORDVILLE…PERRY…MIDWAY…MAYO…CROSS CITY…GEORGETOWN… FORT GAINES…CUTHBERT…SHELLMAN…ARLINGTON…MORGAN…EDISON… LEARY…DAWSON…ALBANY…LEESBURG…SMITHVILLE…SYLVESTER… ASHBURN…TIFTON…FITZGERALD…OCILLA…DOUGLASVILLE…BLAKELY… COLQUITT…NEWTON…CAMILLA…PELHAM…MOULTRIE…ADEL…SPARKS… NASHVILLE…DONALSONVILLE…BAINBRIDGE…CAIRO…THOMASVILLE… QUITMAN…VALDOSTA…LAKELAND
806 PM EST SAT NOV 27 2010 /706 PM CST SAT NOV 27 2010/

A Freeze Warning is Now in Effect From 3 AM EST /2 AM Cst/ to 7 AM EST /6 AM Cst/ Sunday, for All of The Southeast Alabama, Southwest and South Central Georgia, and The Florida Big Bend and Panhandle Except for The Immediate Coastal Strip.

the National Weather Service in tallahassee has issued a freeze warning, which is in effect from 3 AM EST /2 AM cst/ to 7 AM EST /6 AM cst/ sunday.

a cold and dry ridge of high pressure will build in just to the north of our region tonight, allowing for the very light northerly winds to become near calm overnight tonight. this
scenario is expected to produce a 2 to 4 hour period of below freezing temperatures away from the immediate coast and warmer urban heat islands, late tonight into early sunday morning.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a freeze warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or highly likely. these conditions may kill crops and other sensitive vegetation.

&&



FSU vs Florida, originally uploaded by wtvywxteam.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL


.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT).
INITIAL CONCERN WITH THE FORECAST THIS PACKAGE IS WITH RESPECT TO
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND LINGERING POST FRONTAL CLOUDINESS.

RADAR IMAGERY FROM KMOB HAS SHOWN THAT MUCH OF THE POST-FRONTAL RAIN
HAS BEEN TRACKING MORE NORTHEASTWARD...WHICH WOULD LEAD ME TO
BELIEVE WE WON`T SEE A GREAT DEAL OF COVERAGE ACROSS OUR REGION
OVERNIGHT. THERE IS A LARGE DISPARITY THOUGH BETWEEN THE MAV AND MET
POPS OVERNIGHT...MAINLY DUE TO THE NAM-BASED GUIDANCE WANTING TO
SHOW THE LARGE AREA OF RAIN OFF TO OUR WEST OVERSPREADING THE
REGION. FEEL IT BEST HERE TO WEIGHT THE FORECAST TOWARD THE
GFS-BASED MAV GUIDANCE FOR THIS PACKAGE AND SHOW POPS PEAKING NEAR
40 PERCENT IN THE EVENING/OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS OUR REGION.

MUCH COOLER AIR WILL SURGE IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. OVERNIGHT LOW
TEMPERATURES COULD EASILY DIP INTO THE UPPER 30S ACROSS OUR WESTERN
ZONES BY SUNRISE.

SATURDAY...SHOULD SEE CLOUD COVER CLEAR OUT BY MID MORNING AT THE
LATEST WITH A SUNNY DAY ACROSS THE REGION. IT WILL BE MUCH COOLER
(PERHAPS 15 TO 20 DEGREES COLDER) THAN THE LAST FEW DAYS. HIGHS ARE
ONLY EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOW TO MID 60S. BECAUSE THE OVERALL
PATTERN ACROSS THE CONUS WILL BE RATHER FAST-PACED...HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BE MOVING IN BY LATE AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL RESULT IN WINDS
ONLY IN THE 10 MPH RANGE SATURDAY AFTERNOON...SO IT SHOULDN`T FEEL
TOO COLD FOR OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES (INCLUDING THE FSU GAME IN
TALLAHASSEE).

SATURDAY NIGHT...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...BUT
REMAINS CENTERED OVER NORTHEAST TENNESSEE/SMOKY MOUNTAINS. WHILE IT
WILL BE CLEAR AND DRY...THIS PATTERN TENDS TO SUPPORT OCCASIONAL
BURSTS OF WIND OVERNIGHT NEAR 5 MPH WHICH TENDS TO PREVENT
TEMPERATURES FROM DROPPING TOO LOW. AS A RESULT...WILL GO A COUPLE
OF DEGREES ABOVE GUIDANCE ACROSS THE BOARD...ESPECIALLY AT TLH WHERE
THE 32 DEGREES FROM THE MAV/MET SEEMS AWFULLY LOW FOR THIS
PARTICULAR PATTERN.

SUNDAY...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS MOVES EASTWARD
TO THE MID ATLANTIC WITH OUR LOCAL FLOW SHIFTING TO EASTERLY. THIS
WILL START A QUICK WARMUP ACROSS OUR REGION WITH HIGHS REBOUNDING TO
NEAR 70 IN THE SOUTH AND MID TO UPPER 60S IN THE NORTH.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY).
A STRONGLY AMPLIFIED UPPER LEVEL HEMISPHERIC 5-WAVE PATTERN
CONTINUES. THREE NEARLY STATIONARY LONG WAVES ARE ANCHORED OVER
NORTH AMERICA...WESTERN EUROPE AND EASTERN SIBERIA. VIGOROUS FAST
MOVING PROGRESSIVE PACIFIC SURFACE SYSTEMS WILL CONTINUE TO DROP
SOUTHEAST FROM THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.  THE
STORM TRACK THEN CONTINUES INTO THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST...THROUGH
THE MIDWEST AND INTO THE NORTHEAST.  THIS PATTERN SUPPORTS RIDGING
OVER THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES WHICH WILL WEAKEN FRONTAL FEATURES
THAT PROGRESS THROUGH ALABAMA...GEORGIA AND NORTHERN FLORIDA.

NEXT WEEK...THE GFS AND EURO ARE IN STRONG AGREEMENT ABOUT A VERY
STRONG UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROF DIGGING DEEPLY INTO THE INTER-
MOUNTAIN WEST ON MONDAY. THIS SCENARIO TYPICALLY GENERATES A
CLASSIC COLORADO WINTER STORM AND HEAVY SNOWFALL OVER THE UPPER
MIDWEST. A COLD FRONT SPUN OFF FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO ALABAMA...GEORGIA AND FLORIDA ON TUESDAY.
DEVELOPMENTS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT
LEAST ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ESPECIALLY OVER WESTERN PORTIONS
OF THE AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AFTER FRONTAL
PASSAGE...MODELS DIVERGE SIGNIFICANTLY ON WEDNESDAY WITH THE GFS
SHOWING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
INTO ALABAMA AND GEORGIA. WE KEPT WITH THE WARMER EURO SOLUTION
FOR NOW SINCE THIS IS STILL FAR IN THE FUTURE. THE NEXT SHORT WAVE
ARRIVES ON THE FOLLOWING SATURDAY...BUT MODELS SHOW IT TO BE MUCH
WEAKER AND MOVING EAST RAPIDLY THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION. THIS
SYSTEM WILL SPIN A RELATIVELY WEAK AND DRY FRONT INTO
ALABAMA...GEORGIA AND FLORIDA ON SATURDAY.

Black Friday over Dothan 8:30 AM 68 Degrees, South Wind 5 mph

Temps in the upper 60′s..rain by midday, temps falling to the 50′s by late afternoon!! Turning Breezy, NW Wind 10-15 mph

 

WWUS72 KTAE 260235
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
935 PM EST THU NOV 25 2010

ALZ067-069-FLZ010>018-026-027-112-114-115-118-127-GAZ120>129- 142>147-155>159-261400-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FG.Y.0015.101126T0235Z-101126T1400Z/
HENRY-HOUSTON-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF- INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-LIBERTY-
INLAND WAKULLA-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-
COASTAL JEFFERSON-COASTAL WAKULLA-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL- DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL- COLQUITT-COOK-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…TAYLOR…
ASHFORD…KINSEY…COWARTS…WEBB…COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH… CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE… MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…
WEWAHITCHKA…QUINCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE…TALLAHASSEE…
SPRING HILL…MONTICELLO…SWEETWATER…CRAWFORDVILLE…
PANAMA CITY…PARKER…PORT SAINT JOE…APALACHICOLA…
CARRABELLE…SOPCHOPPY…SAINT MARKS…GEORGETOWN…FORT GAINES… CUTHBERT…SHELLMAN…ARLINGTON…MORGAN…EDISON…LEARY… DAWSON…ALBANY…LEESBURG…SMITHVILLE…SYLVESTER…ASHBURN… TIFTON…DOUGLASVILLE…BLAKELY…COLQUITT…NEWTON…CAMILLA… PELHAM…MOULTRIE…ADEL…SPARKS…DONALSONVILLE…BAINBRIDGE… CAIRO…THOMASVILLE…QUITMAN
935 PM EST THU NOV 25 2010 /835 PM CST THU NOV 25 2010/

Dense Fog Advisory in Effect Until 9 AM EST /8 AM Cst/
Friday…

the National Weather Service in tallahassee has issued a dense fog advisory, which is in effect until 9 AM EST /8 AM cst/
friday. at 9 PM EST the visibility at the tallahassee regional airport was a quarter of a mile, as a rather large area of fog was developing across the florida big bend. this fog will gradually spread into portions of southwest georgia, southeast
alabama, and the eastern florida panhandle through early friday morning. the visibility is expected to gradually improve from west to east friday morning as winds and cloud cover increase ahead of an approaching cold front, and most of the fog will likely be gone by mid morning.

precautionary/preparedness actions,
a dense fog advisory means visibilities will frequently be reduced to one quarter mile or less.

&&

 

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL













THANKSGIVING...SHOULD BE A VERY NICE DAY...ONCE ANY EARLY MORNING
FOG AND LOW CLOUDS GET OUT OF THE WAY. SKIES SHOULD BE PARTLY CLOUDY
IN THE AFTERNOON WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE MID TO UPPER
70S. SHOULD BE ABLE TO GET INTO THE LOWER 80S IN THE SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA BIG BEND.

THURSDAY NIGHT...AS THE COLD FRONT TRACKS ACROSS THE MID
SOUTH...EXPECT CLOUD COVER TO INCREASE. WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
NEARING OUR WESTERN ZONES BY DAYBREAK...SHOULD SEE RAIN CHANCES
INCREASING IN THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. BECAUSE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
IS CURRENTLY SHOWN IN THE MODELS TO BE A COUPLE HOURS SLOWER THAN
PREVIOUS CYCLES...WILL SHOW SLIGHTLY LOWER POPS THAN WHAT WAS
INHERITED...BUT STILL HIGH CHANCE IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA (50%).

FRIDAY...THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PROGRESS THROUGH MUCH OF THE AREA
BY DAYS END. OVERALL DYNAMICS WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE NOT THAT
IMPRESSIVE...SO CERTAINLY NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF STORM
TOTAL RAINFALL. HOWEVER...MOST AREAS SHOULD GET RAIN...SO THINK
SHOWING POPS IN THE 50 TO 60 PERCENT RANGE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA
IS APPROPRIATE. EVEN WITH TEMPERATURES BEING SO WARM ACROSS THE
REGION THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS...THERE IS VERY LITTLE COOLING ALOFT
(DUE TO THE WEAK DYNAMICS)...SO THERE WILL BE VERY LITTLE
INSTABILITY. GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE AIRMASS MAY BE JUST
UNSTABLE ENOUGH FOR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO...MAINLY FROM
I-10 SOUTHWARD...SO HAVE INTRODUCED ISOLATED T IN THE GRIDS FOR
THESE AREAS. MAX TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE SET BY 10 OR 11 AM IN
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND PARTS OF THE FLA PANHANDLE AND THEN FALL
THROUGHOUT THE REST OF THE DAY AS THE COLD AIR SURGES IN BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT.

FRIDAY NIGHT...VERY COOL AIR SURGES IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT FRIDAY
NIGHT WITH CLEAR SKIES. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOULD REMAIN TIGHT
ENOUGH TO KEEP WINDS IN THE 5 TO 10 MPH RANGE. EVEN THOUGH THE
MAGNITUDE OF THE COLD ADVECTION WILL BE LARGE...I`M NOT SURE I BUY
THE LOWER 30S SOME OF THE GUIDANCE SHOWS FOR OUR FAR WESTERN ZONES.
FEEL BETTER WITH MID TO UPPER 30S AT WORST IN THE WEST.


Clouds Increasing, originally uploaded by wtvywxteam.

Sent from my Droid.

8 AM: 45 degrees….North Wind 5-10 mph RAINY with Isolated Thunder

Noon: 52 degrees Windy, NW Wind 10-15 mph Periods of Heavy Rain….temperature begins to fall

Kickoff: 48 degrees Windy & Raining

Halftime: 44 degrees Overcast & Windy with a North Wind 10-15+ mph

***The daytime high will be before kickoff….maxing out in the Low 50′s!!!***

End of Game: Temperatures MAY dip to the upper 30′s with a wind chill.

Best Advice: Bring a sweatshirt and gloves for the end of the game, and good raingear for Tailgaiting! Enjoy a great game, despite the weather!!

WWUS72 KTAE 240200
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
900 PM EST TUE NOV 23 2010

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134- GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-241500-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FG.Y.0013.101124T0200Z-101124T1500Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON- COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON- COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN- EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…KINSEY…COWARTS…WEBB… COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS…HUDSON…BONIFAY… CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE… MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…
WEWAHITCHKA…QUINCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE…TALLAHASSEE…
SPRING HILL…MONTICELLO…MADISON…GREENVILLE…SWEETWATER… CRAWFORDVILLE…PERRY…MIDWAY…MAYO…CROSS CITY…FREEPORT… SANTA ROSA BEACH…PANAMA CITY…PARKER…PORT SAINT JOE…
APALACHICOLA…CARRABELLE…SOPCHOPPY…SAINT MARKS…
KEATON BEACH…STEINHATCHEE…SUWANNEE…GEORGETOWN…
FORT GAINES…CUTHBERT…SHELLMAN…ARLINGTON…MORGAN…EDISON… LEARY…DAWSON…ALBANY…LEESBURG…SMITHVILLE…SYLVESTER… ASHBURN…TIFTON…FITZGERALD…OCILLA…DOUGLASVILLE…BLAKELY… COLQUITT…NEWTON…CAMILLA…PELHAM…MOULTRIE…ADEL…SPARKS… NASHVILLE…DONALSONVILLE…BAINBRIDGE…CAIRO…THOMASVILLE… QUITMAN…VALDOSTA…LAKELAND
900 PM EST TUE NOV 23 2010 /800 PM CST TUE NOV 23 2010/

Dense Fog Advisory in Effect Until 10 AM EST /9 AM Cst/
Wednesday…

the National Weather Service in tallahassee has issued a dense fog advisory, which is in effect until 10 AM EST /9 AM cst/
wednesday.

.Widespread fog is expected overnight into the first few daylight hours of wednesday. the fog will become locally dense at times making travel difficult. the fog is expected to lift during the middle to late morning hours.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a dense fog advisory means visibilities will frequently be
reduced to less than one quarter mile. if driving, slow
down, use your low beam headlights, and leave plenty of
distance ahead of you.

&&



City Christmas Tree Going Up, originally uploaded by wtvywxteam.

Sent from my Droid.

WWUS72 KTAE 231359
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
859 AM EST TUE NOV 23 2010

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>014-108-112-114-231600-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FG.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-101123T1600Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…KINSEY…COWARTS…WEBB… COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS…HUDSON…BONIFAY… CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE… MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…
WEWAHITCHKA…FREEPORT…SANTA ROSA BEACH…PANAMA CITY…
PARKER…PORT SAINT JOE
859 AM EST TUE NOV 23 2010 /759 AM CST TUE NOV 23 2010/

Dense Fog Advisory now In Effect Until 11 AM EST /10 AM Cst/ This Morning…

the dense fog advisory is now in effect until 11 AM EST /10 am cst/ this morning.

visibilities will remain near zero at times in areas of
fog, particularly across southeast alabama and the eastern
florida panhandle. motorists travelling in these areas should remain alert for dense fog and sudden drops in visibility.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a dense fog advisory means visibilities will frequently be
reduced to less than one quarter mile. if driving, slow down, use your low beam headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you.

&&

WWUS72 KTAE 230807
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
307 AM EST TUE NOV 23 2010

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>014-108-112-114-231400-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FG.Y.0012.101123T0807Z-101123T1400Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…KINSEY…COWARTS…WEBB… COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS…HUDSON…BONIFAY… CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE… MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…
WEWAHITCHKA…FREEPORT…SANTA ROSA BEACH…PANAMA CITY…
PARKER…PORT SAINT JOE
307 AM EST TUE NOV 23 2010 /207 AM CST TUE NOV 23 2010/

Dense Fog Advisory in Effect Until 8 AM CST This Morning…

the National Weather Service in tallahassee has issued a dense fog advisory, which is in effect until 8 AM CST this morning.

abundant moisture in place combined with near calm winds has resulted in widespread dense fog across southeast alabama and the florida eastern panhandle. the dense fog will persist until around 8 AM EST before slowly lifting. until then, motorists travelling there should to be prepared to encounter dense fog and sudden drops in visibility.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a dense fog advisory means visibilities will frequently be
reduced to less than one quarter mile. if driving, slow
down, use your low beam headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you.

&&

Visibilities will be less than a quarter mile in many locations.

As of Monday, here’s my forecast for Friday’s Iron Bowl game in Tuscaloosa.

I talked to a couple of my meteorologist friends in North Alabama, and they’re all convinced that the game is NOT going to be wet – they believe the timing of the upcoming Thanksgiving Polar cold front will move through that area of the state before kickoff this Friday.

I don’t believe it.

Billions of years before the Sun was born, the Milky Way galaxy flicked out its gravitational tongue and slurped down a tiny neighboring galaxy that had ventured too close. The evidence for that ancient act of cosmic cannibalism is the still-digesting remains of the meal: a handful of relatively nearby stars known as the Helmi Stream, whose weird orbits — above and below the plain of the galaxy — are a tipoff to their weird origin.

Now one of those stars has a second claim to fame. HIP 13044, as it’s unglamorously known, has a planet whirling around it — the first planet ever found from outside the Milky Way. Aside from its extra-galactic origin, the planet itself, found with a medium-size telescope at the European Southern Observatory in Chile, and described in a new paper in Science, isn’t especially remarkable. It’s a bit bigger than Jupiter and orbits its parent star in about 16 days — a “year” so short it would once have been considered impossible for so giant a planet, until multiple discoveries of many similar worlds proved such a revolution rate to be pretty common.It’s the star itself that makes the discovery of a planet surprising, for a couple of reasons. For one thing, its age — perhaps 7 or 8 billion years — means that while HIP 13044 was once much like the Sun, it’s gone through a dramatic change of life. As it burned through its supply of hydrogen, the star would have swelled to become a so-called red giant, tens, or even hundreds of times its original size. When that happens to our Sun billions of years from now, Earth will probably be destroyed. Indeed, there’s some circumstantial evidence that HIP 13044 may have gulped down a few planets itself, says the paper’s lead author Johny Setiawan, of Germany’s Max Planck Institute for Astronomy, in Heidelberg. “The star is a fast rotator,” he says, “and theory predicts that if a star swallows a planet its rotation rate should increase.”

But the new planet, called HIP 13044b, survived the cataclysm. That’s probably because the Jupiter-size world originally occupied a Jupiter-like orbit, much farther from its star than Earth is from the Sun. It spiraled in to its present orbit only after HIP 13044 shrank back to a more dignified size — another common stage of life for stars, which return to their original dimensions when they start burning the helium in their core. A tiny handful of planets have been seen orbiting stars that are currently red giants, but this is the first to be found in the next chapter of a star’s life.

The other thing that makes the star unusual is its composition. The Sun is mostly hydrogen and helium, but it also has significant traces of heavier elements like oxygen, carbon and iron, a quality astronomers call “metallicity” despite the non–metallic nature of some of those elements.

“In the Milky Way,” says Setiawan, “the more metals a star has, the more likely it is to have planets.” The reason for that is simple: both stars and planets coalesce out of the same vast pool of dust and gas. The higher the metallicity, the bigger the supply of building material and the likelier that some will be left over to form planets.

Dwarf galaxies like the one in which HIP 13044 was born, however — and like the two dozen or so that still orbit the Milky Way — have stars that are notably metal-poor. It was unclear until now whether that meant they’d also be planet-poor. The fact that Setiawan and his colleague Rainer Klement, also of the Max Planck Institute, found one so easily suggests this isn’t the case. “Either they were incredibly lucky,” says Eric Ford, a planet-searcher at the University of Florida, “or planets aren’t uncommon around stars like these.”

Whatever the answer, HIP 13044b is clearly a very different world from any we’ve seen before, one that — without the aid of celestial metals — formed in a very different way. And that in turn suggests that the field of planetary science, which seemed so tidy and settled as recently as the 1990s, is still full of surprises.
Courtesey of Time Magazine

MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLE FOR
SOUTHEAST AL...EASTERN FL PANHANDLE ...
SOUTHWEST GA AND FL BIG BEND
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
740 PM EST THU NOV 18 2010

HIGH TEMPERATURE TODAY
LOW TEMPERATURE PAST 18 HOURS
24 HOUR PRECIPITATION ENDING AT 7PM EST / 6PM CST


.BR TAE 1118 E DH19/TAIRVX/DH19/TAIRVP/PPDRVZ
:
:AIRPORT OBSERVATIONS - EASTERN TIME ZONE
:AS OF 7PM EST
:
:                                 MAX   MIN
:                                 TEMP  TEMP   PCPN
TLH  : TALLAHASSEE              :  71 /  34 /  0.00
AAF  : APALACHICOLA             :  72 /  40 /  0.00
40J  : PERRY                    :  72 /  34 /  0.00
CTY  : CROSS CITY               :  72 /  35 /  0.00
JAX  : JACKSONVILLE INTL        :  71 /  40 /  0.00
ABY  : ALBANY                   :  70 /  36 /  0.00
VAD  : MOODY AFB                :  69 /  36 /  0.00
VLD  : VALDOSTA                 :  70 /  34 /  0.00
BGE  : BAINBRIDGE               :  68 /  36 /
BIJ  : BLAKELY                  :  70 /  36 /
MGR  : MOULTRIE                 :  70 /  41 /
TMA  : TIFTON                   :  67 /  37 /
TVI  : THOMASVILLE              :  69 /  38 /
:
.END


.BR TAE 1118 C DH18/TAIRVX/DH18/TAIRVP/PPDRVZ
:
:AIRPORT OBSERVATIONS - CENTRAL TIME ZONE
:AS OF 6PM CST
:
:                                 MAX   MIN
:                                 TEMP  TEMP   PCPN
ECP  : PANAMA CITY NW INTL ARPT :  72 /  38 /  0.00
PAM  : TYNDALL AFB              :  71 /  41 /  0.00
VPS  : EGLIN AFB                :  67 /  40 /  0.00
CEW  : CRESTVIEW                :  71 /  32 /  0.00
PNS  : PENSACOLA                :  70 /  46 /  0.00
MAI  : MARIANNA                 :  73 /  39 /  0.00
MOB  : MOBILE                   :  72 /  43 /  0.00
DHN  : DOTHAN                   :  69 /  38 /  0.00
OZR  : OZARK - CAIRNS AIR FIELD :  69 /  36 /  0.00
LOR  : FT RUCKER HELIPORT       :  70 /  34 /  0.00

The Southeast from Florida through Tennessee will be lucking out this Thanksgiving, with mild weather and fair skies.  Temperatures in Alabama will be in the mid 70′s, which is unseasonably warm for this time of year! I do think we have better chances of rain towards Black Friday and the following weekend….but my preliminary outlook does not show major problems.

If you’re headed to the midwest, or northern plains…it’s another story. A winter storm is expected through places like Montana, Colorado and Chicago, and travel through one of the nations busiest cities..could be a real bind! Following that system, Black Friday may be not worth venturing out in across the midsections of the country, with temperatures dropping drastically!



Fall Colors Are In The Air!, originally uploaded by wtvywxteam.

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