You are currently browsing the monthly archive for December 2010.

Back in May of 2006, I had the chance to sit down and chat with Al Roberts for an article about him that Ann Varnum and I were writing for Dothan Magazine.

After a “forever” career at WTVY, he had decided to retire.

When I heard that he had passed away suddenly Thursday night, I couldn’t help but think about the title of that interview, “Rounding Third and Heading For Home”…

I hope you had the chance to meet him… if not, maybe our article will tell you a little more about a true gentleman… and a good friend to so many people.

We’re going to miss him… but Heaven’s gonna luv him.

Here’s the link to that article: Al Roberts.

Beautiful weather today! After a high of 72 degrees….we’ll settle into the night at around 62 degrees when the ball drops.

We could have a few early morning showers, but we anticipate a WET ringing in of the new year! 1-2″ of rain for New Years Day, 68 degrees.

Have a very safe and Happy New Year everyone, see you in 2011!

Reports coming in from Cincinnati, Arkansas

From Fort Smith/Fayetteville, AR 5News….

Central EMS in Washington County has confirmed fatalities after a tornado blew through Cinncinati in western Washington County Friday morning.

Officials were unable to confirm how many residents have died. However, they do say they have several people trapped in buildings that were damaged by the storm.

Tornado warnings continue throughout the morning for Sequoyah, Crawford, Benton and Washington counties. 

Widespread power outages continue across the area.Ozarks Electric’s website shows nearly 12,000 customers without power in cities like Fayetteville, Elkins, Greenland, and Lincoln.

Stay with 5NEWSonline.com for updates.

As of 8:20 am central time 4 deaths reported.



Clouds Rolling In At 3:30pm, originally uploaded by wtvywxteam.

Sent from my Droid.

No more freeze warnings!  At least through the 1st of the year…

Afternoon highs for Thursday will reach into the mid to upper 60s… with at least 70 degrees expected for Friday afternoon.

Clouds will be rolling back in late in the day Thursday, bringing us a slight chance for some scattered showers.

That chance for showers (30%) will continue overnight and throughout Friday… before our best rain chances (50%) arrive on New Year’s Day this Saturday.

A cold front will move through our area on Monday, pushing afternoon highs back into the 50s.



Blue Skies and 57 Degrees, originally uploaded by wtvywxteam.

2pm in Dothan on Wednesday.

Sent from my Droid.

After Wednesday, out temperatures will be gradually warming up.

Mid 60s for highs on Thursday, 70 degrees for Friday, and 72 for Saturday!

 

WWUS72 KTAE 281942
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
242 PM EST TUE DEC 28 2010

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161- 291300-
/O.UPG.KTAE.HZ.A.0018.101229T0700Z-101229T1300Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.HZ.W.0022.101229T0700Z-101229T1300Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY- RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN- EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…DOTHAN…KINSEY…
COWARTS…WEBB…COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS… HUDSON…BONIFAY…CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…
MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE…MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…
BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…WEWAHITCHKA…QUINCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE… TALLAHASSEE…SPRING HILL…MONTICELLO…MADISON…GREENVILLE… SWEETWATER…CRAWFORDVILLE…PERRY…MIDWAY…MAYO…CROSS CITY… GEORGETOWN…FORT GAINES…CUTHBERT…SHELLMAN…ARLINGTON… MORGAN…EDISON…LEARY…DAWSON…ALBANY…LEESBURG…
SMITHVILLE…SYLVESTER…ASHBURN…TIFTON…FITZGERALD…OCILLA… DOUGLASVILLE…BLAKELY…COLQUITT…NEWTON…CAMILLA…PELHAM… MOULTRIE…ADEL…SPARKS…NASHVILLE…DONALSONVILLE…
BAINBRIDGE…CAIRO…THOMASVILLE…QUITMAN…VALDOSTA…LAKELAND 242 PM EST TUE DEC 28 2010 /142 PM CST TUE DEC 28 2010/

Hard Freeze Warning in Effect From 2 AM EST /1 AM Cst/ to 8 Am EST /7 AM Cst/ Wednesday…

the National Weather Service in tallahassee has issued a hard freeze warning, which is in effect from 2 AM EST /1 AM cst/ to 8 AM EST /7 AM cst/ wednesday.

one more very cold night is expected tonight. temperatures are forecast to drop into the lower to mid 20S, especially away from urban areas. inland areas may see temperatures drop below 25 degrees for several hours. coastal residents will see minimum temperatures in the mid to upper 20S by daybreak wednesday.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a hard freeze warning means sub-freezing temperatures are
imminent or highly likely. specifically, temperatures are
expected to drop below 26 degrees for at least two hours. these conditions will kill crops and other sensitive vegetation if left unprotected. exposed pipes will also be vulnerable in these
temperatures.

a hard freeze watch means sub-freezing temperatures are possible. these conditions could kill crops and other sensitive vegetation.

&&

Dothan’s temperature dropped to 21 this morning.

That breaks the old minimum record of 22 for December 28th set in 1967.

WWUS72 KTAE 280811
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
311 AM EST TUE DEC 28 2010

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161- 282100-
/O.NEW.KTAE.HZ.A.0018.101229T0700Z-101229T1300Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.HZ.W.0021.000000T0000Z-101228T1400Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY- RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN- EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…DOTHAN…KINSEY…
COWARTS…WEBB…COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS… HUDSON…BONIFAY…CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…
MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE…MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…
BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…WEWAHITCHKA…QUINCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE… TALLAHASSEE…SPRING HILL…MONTICELLO…MADISON…GREENVILLE… SWEETWATER…CRAWFORDVILLE…PERRY…MIDWAY…MAYO…CROSS CITY… GEORGETOWN…FORT GAINES…CUTHBERT…SHELLMAN…ARLINGTON… MORGAN…EDISON…LEARY…DAWSON…ALBANY…LEESBURG…
SMITHVILLE…SYLVESTER…ASHBURN…TIFTON…FITZGERALD…OCILLA… DOUGLASVILLE…BLAKELY…COLQUITT…NEWTON…CAMILLA…PELHAM… MOULTRIE…ADEL…SPARKS…NASHVILLE…DONALSONVILLE…
BAINBRIDGE…CAIRO…THOMASVILLE…QUITMAN…VALDOSTA…LAKELAND 311 AM EST TUE DEC 28 2010 /211 AM CST TUE DEC 28 2010/

Hard Freeze Warning Remains in Effect Until 9 AM EST /8 Am
Cst/ This Morning,
, Hard Freeze Watch in Effect From Late Tonight Through
Wednesday Morning…

temperatures are well below freezing this morning with many
locations colder than 25 degrees. low temperatures will approach 20 degrees by sunrise before temperatures rise above freezing by mid-morning.

one more very cold night is expected tonight. temperatures are forecast to drop into the mid 20S, especially away from urban areas. inland areas may see temperatures drop below 25 degrees for several hours.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a hard freeze warning means sub-freezing temperatures are
imminent or highly likely. specifically, temperatures are
expected to drop below 26 degrees for at least two hours. these conditions will kill crops and other sensitive vegetation if left unprotected. exposed pipes will also be vulnerable in these
temperatures.

a hard freeze watch means sub-freezing temperatures are possible. these conditions could kill crops and other sensitive vegetation.

&&

Here’s the NWS discussion about the next two days…

WE STILL HAVE SOME MORE COLD AIR TO DEAL
WITH. THE SURFACE HIGH WILL BUILD EWD OVERNIGHT AND SET UP AN IDEAL
RADIATIONAL COOLING SCENARIO. TEMPS WILL BE BELOW FREEZING FOR UP TO
13 HOURS FROM THIS EVENING INTO TUE MORNING WITH HARD FREEZE
CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR UP TO 8 HOURS. THE HARD FREEZE WATCH HAS
BEEN UPGRADED TO A WARNING. DAYTIME TEMPS WILL CONTINUE A SLOW
MODERATION ON TUE WITH MOST AREAS GETTING INTO THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
THIS IS STILL A GOOD 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. THE HIGH WILL BE
CENTERED RIGHT OVER OUR ERN ZONES BY 12Z WED. THAT WILL MEAN ANOTHER
HARD FREEZE ACROSS THE FL BIG BEND AND S CENTRAL GA WITH A SLIGHT
MODERATION OF TEMPS ACROSS THE WRN ZONES. BY WED AFTERNOON...TEMPS
WILL GET WITHIN A COUPLE DEGREES OF NORMAL WITH UPPER 50S N TO LOWER
60S IN THE FL BIG BEND. ON WED NIGHT...WE WILL NOT SEE ANY FREEZING
TEMPS...ALTHOUGH IT WILL GET CLOSE ACROSS THE FAR ERN ZONES. CLOUD
COVER WILL BE ON THE INCREASE AS THE SHORT WAVE APPROACHES AND THAT
SHOULD KEEP TEMPS WARM ENOUGH THAT WE DON`T NEED TO WORRY ABOUT ANY
FROZEN PRECIPITATION AS WE BRING IN SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ACROSS OUR
WRN ZONES AFTER 06Z.

WWUS72 KTAE 271846
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
146 PM EST MON DEC 27 2010

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134- GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-281400-
/O.UPG.KTAE.HZ.A.0017.101228T0600Z-101228T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.HZ.W.0021.101228T0600Z-101228T1400Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON- COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON- COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN- EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…DOTHAN…KINSEY…
COWARTS…WEBB…COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS… HUDSON…BONIFAY…CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…
MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE…MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…
BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…WEWAHITCHKA…QUINCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE… TALLAHASSEE…SPRING HILL…MONTICELLO…MADISON…GREENVILLE… SWEETWATER…CRAWFORDVILLE…PERRY…MIDWAY…MAYO…CROSS CITY… FREEPORT…SANTA ROSA BEACH…PANAMA CITY…PARKER…
PORT SAINT JOE…APALACHICOLA…CARRABELLE…SOPCHOPPY…
SAINT MARKS…KEATON BEACH…STEINHATCHEE…SUWANNEE…
GEORGETOWN…FORT GAINES…CUTHBERT…SHELLMAN…ARLINGTON… MORGAN…EDISON…LEARY…DAWSON…ALBANY…LEESBURG…
SMITHVILLE…SYLVESTER…ASHBURN…TIFTON…FITZGERALD…OCILLA… DOUGLASVILLE…BLAKELY…COLQUITT…NEWTON…CAMILLA…PELHAM… MOULTRIE…ADEL…SPARKS…NASHVILLE…DONALSONVILLE…
BAINBRIDGE…CAIRO…THOMASVILLE…QUITMAN…VALDOSTA…LAKELAND 146 PM EST MON DEC 27 2010 /1246 PM CST MON DEC 27 2010/

Hard Freeze Warning in Effect From 1 AM EST /midnight Cst/ to 9 AM EST /8 AM Cst/ Tuesday…

the National Weather Service in tallahassee has upgraded the hard freeze watch to a warning. temperatures will dip below freezing this evening with total freeze durations of up to 13 hours
expected in the coldest inland locations. total hard freeze
durations will be up to eight hours.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a hard freeze warning means sub-freezing temperatures are
imminent or highly likely. specifically, temperatures are
expected to drop below 26 degrees for at least two hours. these conditions will kill crops and other sensitive vegetation if left unprotected. exposed pipes will also be vulnerable in these
temperatures.

&&



Clear and 38 Degrees at Noon, originally uploaded by wtvywxteam.

Sent from my Droid.

8 inches of powder. Many reported gusts over 60 mph. Still snowing. Wind is the main issue!

This slideshow requires JavaScript.

WWUS72 KTAE 270805
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
305 AM EST MON DEC 27 2010

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134- GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-272100-
/O.NEW.KTAE.HZ.A.0017.101228T0600Z-101228T1400Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.HZ.W.0020.000000T0000Z-101227T1400Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON- COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON- COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN- EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…DOTHAN…KINSEY…
COWARTS…WEBB…COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS… HUDSON…BONIFAY…CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…
MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE…MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…
BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…WEWAHITCHKA…QUINCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE… TALLAHASSEE…SPRING HILL…MONTICELLO…MADISON…GREENVILLE… SWEETWATER…CRAWFORDVILLE…PERRY…MIDWAY…MAYO…CROSS CITY… FREEPORT…SANTA ROSA BEACH…PANAMA CITY…PARKER…
PORT SAINT JOE…APALACHICOLA…CARRABELLE…SOPCHOPPY…
SAINT MARKS…KEATON BEACH…STEINHATCHEE…SUWANNEE…
GEORGETOWN…FORT GAINES…CUTHBERT…SHELLMAN…ARLINGTON… MORGAN…EDISON…LEARY…DAWSON…ALBANY…LEESBURG…
SMITHVILLE…SYLVESTER…ASHBURN…TIFTON…FITZGERALD…OCILLA… DOUGLASVILLE…BLAKELY…COLQUITT…NEWTON…CAMILLA…PELHAM… MOULTRIE…ADEL…SPARKS…NASHVILLE…DONALSONVILLE…
BAINBRIDGE…CAIRO…THOMASVILLE…QUITMAN…VALDOSTA…LAKELAND 305 AM EST MON DEC 27 2010 /205 AM CST MON DEC 27 2010/

Hard Freeze Warning Remains in Effect Until 9 AM EST /8 Am
Cst/ This Morning,
, Hard Freeze Watch in Effect From Late Tonight Through Tuesday Morning…

an arctic air mass will remain in place across the region into tuesday. temperatures are expected to bottom out in the mid 20S this morning. light winds and clear skies will allow temperatures to fall into the lower 20S tonight into tuesday morning with a much longer duration hard freeze expected.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a hard freeze warning means sub-freezing temperatures are
imminent or highly likely. specifically, temperatures are
expected to drop below 26 degrees for at least two hours. these conditions will kill crops and other sensitive vegetation if left unprotected

&&

This slideshow requires JavaScript.



Snowing & Wind in New England, originally uploaded by wtvywxteam.

This is 3:45 pm in Connecticut where my family lives. Only an inch so far but could wake up to 10-18" Monday morning. Needless to say I am stranded. Temp has been holding at around 24 degrees with a windchill in the low teens all day.

WWUS72 KTAE 261950
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
250 PM EST SUN DEC 26 2010

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134- GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-270000-
/O.UPG.KTAE.HZ.A.0016.101227T0900Z-101227T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.HZ.W.0020.101227T0800Z-101227T1400Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-101226T2300Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON- COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON- COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN- EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…DOTHAN…KINSEY…
COWARTS…WEBB…COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS… HUDSON…BONIFAY…CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…
MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE…MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…
BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…WEWAHITCHKA…QUINCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE… TALLAHASSEE…SPRING HILL…MONTICELLO…MADISON…GREENVILLE… SWEETWATER…CRAWFORDVILLE…PERRY…MIDWAY…MAYO…CROSS CITY… FREEPORT…SANTA ROSA BEACH…PANAMA CITY…PARKER…
PORT SAINT JOE…APALACHICOLA…CARRABELLE…SOPCHOPPY…
SAINT MARKS…KEATON BEACH…STEINHATCHEE…SUWANNEE…
GEORGETOWN…FORT GAINES…CUTHBERT…SHELLMAN…ARLINGTON… MORGAN…EDISON…LEARY…DAWSON…ALBANY…LEESBURG…
SMITHVILLE…SYLVESTER…ASHBURN…TIFTON…FITZGERALD…OCILLA… DOUGLASVILLE…BLAKELY…COLQUITT…NEWTON…CAMILLA…PELHAM… MOULTRIE…ADEL…SPARKS…NASHVILLE…DONALSONVILLE…
BAINBRIDGE…CAIRO…THOMASVILLE…QUITMAN…VALDOSTA…LAKELAND 250 PM EST SUN DEC 26 2010 /150 PM CST SUN DEC 26 2010/

Wind Advisory Remains in Effect Until 6 PM EST /5 PM Cst/ This Evening,
, Hard Freeze Warning in Effect From 3 AM EST /2 AM Cst/ to 9 Am EST /8 AM Cst/ Monday…

in the wake of a strong low pressure center and trailing cold front, very strong high pressure will build into the region. the gradient created over the local area in between the departing low and building high will maintain strong and gusty northwest winds into this evening.

this high pressure will continue to funnel a very cold and dry air mass across the local region tonight into monday morning.
temperatures will plummet to the mid 20S for at least 2 hours. this satisfies hard freeze criteria.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a hard freeze warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or highly likely. specifically, temperatures are expected to drop below 26 degrees for at least two hours. these conditions will kill crops and other sensitive vegetation if left unprotected

this wind advisory means that frequent winds gusts of 26 to 32 mph are expected. winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. use extra caution.

&&



Day After Christmas Clouds 11am, originally uploaded by wtvywxteam.

Sent from my Droid.

WWUS72 KTAE 260803
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
303 AM EST SUN DEC 26 2010

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134- GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-262130-
/O.NEW.KTAE.WI.Y.0003.101226T1400Z-101226T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.HZ.A.0016.101227T0900Z-101227T1400Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON- COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON- COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN- EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…DOTHAN…KINSEY…
COWARTS…WEBB…COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS… HUDSON…BONIFAY…CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…
MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE…MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…
BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…WEWAHITCHKA…QUINCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE… TALLAHASSEE…SPRING HILL…MONTICELLO…MADISON…GREENVILLE… SWEETWATER…CRAWFORDVILLE…PERRY…MIDWAY…MAYO…CROSS CITY… FREEPORT…SANTA ROSA BEACH…PANAMA CITY…PARKER…
PORT SAINT JOE…APALACHICOLA…CARRABELLE…SOPCHOPPY…
SAINT MARKS…KEATON BEACH…STEINHATCHEE…SUWANNEE…
GEORGETOWN…FORT GAINES…CUTHBERT…SHELLMAN…ARLINGTON… MORGAN…EDISON…LEARY…DAWSON…ALBANY…LEESBURG…
SMITHVILLE…SYLVESTER…ASHBURN…TIFTON…FITZGERALD…OCILLA… DOUGLASVILLE…BLAKELY…COLQUITT…NEWTON…CAMILLA…PELHAM… MOULTRIE…ADEL…SPARKS…NASHVILLE…DONALSONVILLE…
BAINBRIDGE…CAIRO…THOMASVILLE…QUITMAN…VALDOSTA…LAKELAND 303 AM EST SUN DEC 26 2010 /203 AM CST SUN DEC 26 2010/

Wind Advisory is In Effect From 9 AM EST /8 AM Cst/ This
Morning to 6 PM EST /5 PM Cst/ This Evening,
, Hard Freeze Watch is In Effect From Late Tonight Through Monday Morning…

the National Weather Service in tallahassee has issued a wind advisory, which is in effect from 9 AM EST /8 AM cst/ this
morning to 6 PM EST /5 PM cst/ this evening. a hard freeze watch remains is in effect from late tonight through monday morning.

in the wake of a strong low pressure center and trailing cold front, very strong high pressure will build into the region. the gradient created over the local area in between the departing low and building high will create strong and gusty northwest winds today. expect winds in excess of 20 mph with frequent gusts in excess of 26 mph. for this reason a wind advisory was issued. winds will begin to decrease this evening.

this high pressure will advect a very cold and dry air mass across the local region tonight into monday morning. temperatures will plummet to the low to mid 20S for at least 4 to 6 hours in the coldest spots. this will generate a widespread hard freeze.
therefore a hard freeze watch was issued which will likely be upgraded to a warning later today.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a hard freeze watch means sub-freezing temperatures below
26 degrees are possible. these conditions could kill crops and other sensitive vegetation.

a wind advisory means that sustained winds or frequent gusts of 26 to 39 mph are expected. winds or gusts this strong can make
driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. use extra caution.

&&

WWUS72 KTAE 251943
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
243 PM EST SAT DEC 25 2010

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134- GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-260900-
/O.NEW.KTAE.HZ.A.0016.101227T0900Z-101227T1400Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON- COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON- COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN- EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…DOTHAN…KINSEY…
COWARTS…WEBB…COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS… HUDSON…BONIFAY…CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…
MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE…MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…
BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…WEWAHITCHKA…QUINCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE… TALLAHASSEE…SPRING HILL…MONTICELLO…MADISON…GREENVILLE… SWEETWATER…CRAWFORDVILLE…PERRY…MIDWAY…MAYO…CROSS CITY… FREEPORT…SANTA ROSA BEACH…PANAMA CITY…PARKER…
PORT SAINT JOE…APALACHICOLA…CARRABELLE…SOPCHOPPY…
SAINT MARKS…KEATON BEACH…STEINHATCHEE…SUWANNEE…
GEORGETOWN…FORT GAINES…CUTHBERT…SHELLMAN…ARLINGTON… MORGAN…EDISON…LEARY…DAWSON…ALBANY…LEESBURG…
SMITHVILLE…SYLVESTER…ASHBURN…TIFTON…FITZGERALD…OCILLA… DOUGLASVILLE…BLAKELY…COLQUITT…NEWTON…CAMILLA…PELHAM… MOULTRIE…ADEL…SPARKS…NASHVILLE…DONALSONVILLE…
BAINBRIDGE…CAIRO…THOMASVILLE…QUITMAN…VALDOSTA…LAKELAND 243 PM EST SAT DEC 25 2010 /143 PM CST SAT DEC 25 2010/

Hard Freeze Watch in Effect From Late Sunday Night Through
Monday Morning…

very cold air will continue to funnel into the region on sunday night. a hard freeze is possible with minimum temperatures dipping into the lower to mid 20S. total freeze durations will run 10 to 12 hours.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a hard freeze watch means sub-freezing temperatures below 26 degrees are possible. these conditions could kill crops and other sensitive vegetation.

&&

This arriving shot of arctic air won’t be quite as cold as two weeks ago – but it will be close.

Saturday may have some sunshine around dawn, but clouds will quickly cover the skies.

The high temperature (near 53, possibly lower with more clouds ) looks to be reached around midday.

Winds will be light out of the south southwest early, shifting to the west mid morning 4-9 mph.

By midday northwest winds will take over and increase during the afternoon to 7-14 mph, increasing to near 20 mph during the evening.

Temperatures will fall quickly into the 40s during the afternoon and into the 30s later in the evening.

Light rain develops during the afternoon (sooner to the west & northwest) and would be steady at times.

From around 10 pm to 2 am there will be a chance of a rain/snow mix or even light snow developing in the colder air arriving.

Slight snow accumulations (1 inch or less) are possible northwest & north of Dothan – especially toward Luverne, Brantley, Troy, Abbeville, Eufaula and Blakely, Georgia.

A trace or slight dusting of snow is possible south to the Florida line.

Precipitation (except for non accumulating light flurries) should end by 3-4 am, and increasing winds should blow most roads dry quickly.

Also, surface temperatures are not expected to fall to freezing until 4 am (expect freezing temperatures earlier west, northwest and north of Dothan).

However, if traveling early Sunday morning (especially west and north of Dothan), BE CAUTIOUS!

WIND ADVISORIES may be needed overnight Saturday thru Sunday.
HARD FREEZES are likely Monday & Tuesday mornings.

A brief overview of Sunday – Wednesday;
Sunday – Clearing, very cold and windy..AM Low 30, High 41
Monday – Sunny, breezy early, cold..AM Low 23, High 46
Tuesday – Sunny, not as cold..AM Low 25, High 52
Wednesday – Partly cloudy..AM Low 28, High 60
(warmer through the weekend).

Along the coast, a SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY is in effect Saturday afternoon to Monday morning. Also, a GALE WATCH is in effect Saturday evening thru Sunday evening.

Remember how you prepared two weeks ago (People, Pets, Pipes and Plants) and stay warm.

More on the weather Christmas night at 6 & 10 on WTVY-TV.

Oh, I hope you have a MERRY CHRISTMAS! and the best of holidays.



The most wonderful time of the year…

Merry Christmas!

That area of low pressure off the Texas coast got started moving our way too slowly for it to bring us any decent amount of snow on Christmas Day Night.

Maybe a few flurries between 10pm and 3am Sunday morning.

Here’s what the National Weather Service is thinking for our area for the next few days…

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...ANOTHER CHILLY NIGHT IN
STORE FOR US THIS EVENING AS TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO FALL INTO
THE LOW TO MID 30S REGIONWIDE. A SHREDDED CIRRUS DECK SHOULD HAVE
ENOUGH INFLUENCE TO KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM FALLING INTO THE 20S AS
WAS NOT THE CASE FOR MANY LOCATIONS THIS MORNING.

ON SATURDAY SHORTWAVE TROFS DIVE OUT OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
PLAINS INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. AS THE SMALLER OF THESE SHORTWAVES
ENTERS THE NORTHERN GOMEX AN ATTENDANT SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS. THESE
FEATURES TRAVEL EAST THROUGH SATURDAY AND ARRIVE IN OUR LOCAL AREA
BEGINNING LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. MODELS AGREE THAT ALTHOUGH THE
LOW WILL PASS SOUTH ACROSS OUR MARINE ZONES...STRONG COLD AIR
ADVECTION BEHIND THE LOW COUPLED WITH DECENT SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE PHASING SHORTWAVES WILL PROVIDE OUR LOCAL AREA
WITH A SOLID BAND OF RAIN SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
FOR SEVERAL DAYS...MODEL RUNS HAVE BEEN TOYING WITH THE IDEA OF SOME
SORT OF FROZEN PRECIP DEVELOPING OVER OUR SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA AND
SOUTHERN GEORGIA LOCATIONS...HOWEVER...RECENT GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT THAT THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE TOO WARM TO SUPPORT THIS. HAVE
LEFT A BRIEF 3-4 HOUR PERIOD WHERE LIGHT SNOW FLURRIES HAVE THE BEST
CHANCE OF OCCURRING OVER OUR EXTREME NORTHERN GA ZONES. ANY FLURRIES
THAT DO OCCUR OVERNIGHT (IF ANY) ARE NOT EXPECTED TO HAVE ANY IMPACT
WHATSOEVER. BY SUNRISE THE BAND OF RAIN WILL BE EXITING OUR REGION
TO THE EAST AND SKIES WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON.

THE BIG STORY WITH THIS SYSTEM IS THE FRIGID WEATHER SET TO FILTER
IN BEHIND THE LOW. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL STRUGGLE INTO
THE 40S AND WITH WINDY CONDITIONS IN PLACE...MOST LOCATIONS WILL
FEEL AS THOUGH TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE MIDDLE 30S TO LOWER 40S ALL
DAY. SUNDAY NIGHT...TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE MIDDLE TO LOW 20S
REGIONWIDE WITH WIND CHILLS IN THE MID TO UPPER TEENS.


.LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)...EXTENDED BEGINS WITH A
DEEP TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S. WITH AN ARCTIC EXPRESS IN FULL
SWING INTO OUR AREA. A DEEP SURFACE LOW IS APPROACHING THE NEW
ENGLAND COAST AND HIGH PRESSURE IS PLUNGING INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY
PRODUCING A TIGHT NORTHERLY PRESSURE GRADIENT EXTENDING INTO THE
DEEP SOUTH FROM EASTERN CANADA. THIS COLD AIR ADVECTION CONTINUES
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY MAKES ITS WAY
INTO THE SOUTHEAST U.S. WITH THE COLD DOME OF AIR CENTERED OVER
NORTH FL, EASTERN GA, AND THE CAROLINAS WEDNESDAY MORNING. WIND
CHILLS WILL BE AN ISSUE ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

BY WEDNESDAY P.M...MID LEVEL FLOW ACROSS CONUS HAS BECOME SOMEWHAT
ZONAL AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD.  HOWEVER...
ZONAL FLOW IS SHORT LIVED...WITH THE NEXT BIG PULSE COMING SOUTH
ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST AMPLIFYING THE TROUGH IN THE FAR WEST. THE
GFS IS MUCH MORE BULLISH ON THIS SYSTEM THAN THE ECMWF. HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGING CONTINUES TO BUILD OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD
PRODUCING SOME WEAK BLOCKING ON THURSDAY. WHAT DOES ALL THIS DO TO
OUR WEATHER...A WARNING TREND AND INCREASING MOISTURE ARE IN STORE
FOR OUR REGION FOR THE REST OF THE EXTENDED.

HARD FREEZE IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH WIND CHILLS
POSSIBLY GETTING INTO THE TEENS. A HARD FREEZE IS EXPECTED IN SOME
LOCATIONS EVEN ON WEDNESDAY MORNING ACCORDING TO THE GFS. LATEST
ECMWF SUGGESTS HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED RIGHT OVER NORTH FL ON
WEDNESDAY MORNING...WHICH MIGHT INDICATE A POSSIBLE HARD FREEZE FOR
ALL INLAND LOCATIONS FOR A THIRD STRAIGHT DAY. HIGH TEMPS ON
MONDAY-WEDNESDAY WILL BE AROUND 50 GETTING TO NEAR 60 ON
WEDNESDAY... THEN ABOVE NORMAL THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...EVEN INTO THE
LOWER 70S FOR HIGHS BY FRIDAY.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
220 PM EST THU DEC 23 2010

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
TONIGHT...LOCAL AIRMASS WILL BE VERY DRY AND A SURFACE RIDGE WILL BE
THE DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE.  AIDED BY LACK OF CLOUD COVER...A
LIGHT FREEZE APPEARS LIKELY FRIDAY MORNING...AWAY FROM THE BEACHES
AND URBAN AREAS. LOCAL CONFIDENCE PROB FREEZE TOOL SHOWS CHANCE OF
FREEZE FROM ZERO PANHANDLE COAST TO AROUND 40% TALLAHASSEE TO 75%
NRN MOST GA AND ALA COUNTIES EXPECT INLAND LOWS AROUND 30
DEGREES...MID 30S AT COAST. PATCHY FROST
MAINLY ERN THIRD OF CWA.

FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY BUT COLD AIR ADVECTION STILL DOMINANT. SO
HIGHS ONLY IN MID 50S NORTH TO AROUND 60 SE BIG BEND AND COAST. LOWS
IN MID 30S INLAND TO MID 40S COAST.

SATURDAY...INCREASING CLOUDINESS. 60-40 PCT NW-SE RAIN GRADIENT.
WINDS VEER AHEAD OF STORM SYSTEM. SO HIGHS MID 50S SE ALA/SW
GA TO MID 60S SE BIG BEND/COAST.

SATURDAY NIGHT...LIKELY POPS. WITH MIX OF SNOW AND RAIN POSSIBLE SE
ALA/SRN GA. (SEE ABOVE). LOWS FROM LOW 30S SE ALA/SRN GA TO AROUND
40 SE BIG BEND/COAST.

SUNDAY...EXPECT MUCH COLDER TEMPS WITH 850MB TEMPS ARE PROGGED
(ASSUMING THE ECMWF IS IN THE BALLPARK) TO DROP TO BETWEEN -6 AND
-9C. HIGHS FROM MID-UPPER 40S NORTH TO LOW-MID 50S SE BIG BEND/
COAST.

&&

LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THRU THURSDAY...
EXPECTING A WIDESPREAD FREEZE AREA-WIDE FOR SUNDAY NIGHT WITH SOME
LOCATIONS REACHING HARD FREEZE. ALSO...WITH THE GRADIENT STILL
TIGHT...WIND CHILLS MAY BECOME AN ISSUE INTO MONDAY MORNING. THE
UPPER TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO EXIT THE AREA LATER MONDAY INTO TUESDAY
TAKING THE COLDEST OF THE AIRMASS WITH IT...HOWEVER WIDESPREAD
FREEZES ARE EXPECTED BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHTS BEFORE AIRMASS
BEGINS TO MODERATE.

 

Indoor/Outdoor…..with the windchill it is 22.

There’s a small – but growing! – chance for some snowflakes around our area for Christmas Night (Saturday)!

Right now, the best chance will be north of Troy, but the forecast snow-line reaches into an area from Andalusia to Dothan to Albany…

We’ll talk about it tonight at 5, 6 and 10 on News 4.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL


SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...THE CURRENT FCST
FOR THE SHORT TERM PERIOD HAS REMAINED WELL ON TRACK OVER THE PAST
SEVERAL MODEL CYCLES...AND THERE ARE NO REAL SIGNS OF ANY
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO OUR PATTERN THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. AS
MENTIONED ABOVE...WE EXPECT THIS 1ST BATCH OF LOW-MID LEVEL CIGS TO
BURN OFF TODAY...BUT AS THIS PROTECTING SFC RIDGE CONTINUES TO SLIDE
SOUTHWARD OUT AHEAD OF THE NEXT WEAK APPROACHING COLD FRONT...
ADDITIONAL CLOUDINESS WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE SOUTHWARD INTO THE AREA
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. MUCH MILDER LOW TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...DUE TO A COMBINATION OF THE MODERATING
AIR MASS...ONSHORE FLOW...AND THE INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER AS THE
FRONT SLOWLY APPROACHES FROM THE N. HIGH TEMPS ON WEDNESDAY SHOULD
EASILY BE THE WARMEST OF THIS CURRENT WEEK...AS WE WILL BEGIN THE
DAY FROM A MUCH WARMER LAUNCHING PAD. THE MAIN LIMITING FACTORS ON
TOMORROW`S HIGHS WILL BE THE EXTENT AND THICKNESS OF THE MORE
WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER...BUT EVEN WITH VERY MODEST AMOUNTS OF
INSOLATION...MOST AREAS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO CRACK THE 70 DEGREE
BARRIER. ALTHOUGH A HIGH TEMP OF 70 DEGREES IN TALLAHASSEE IS STILL
ONLY 5 DEGREES ABOVE CLIMATOLOGY...THIS MONTH OF DECEMBER HAS BEEN
SO COLD THAT WE HAVE ONLY REACHED 70 TWICE THUS FAR...WITH A PAIR OF
71S ON THE 4TH AND THE 17TH...SO WEDNESDAY COULD VERY EASILY END UP
BEING THE WARMEST DAY OF THE MONTH BEFORE WE WRAP UP THE 2010
CALENDAR YEAR. THEN...THE WEAK COLD FRONT SHOULD PASS THROUGH THE
CWA WITH LITTLE FANFARE (AND NO PRECIP) ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY...WITH JUST A QUICK SHOT OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR FOR THE
END OF THE WEEK. THE MUCH MORE SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WILL HOLD OFF FOR
THE CHRISTMAS WEEKEND...AND WILL BE DISCUSSED BELOW.


.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)...
AT THE START OF THE PERIOD...THE SHORT WAVE THAT CAME ASHORE INTO
SRN CA ON WED WILL BE MOVING OUT INTO THE SRN PLAINS. FROM THIS
POINT ONWARD...WE BEGIN TO SEE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE GFS AND
EURO. THE GFS OPENS UP THE WAVE AS IT SWEEPS EWD MUCH FASTER THAN
THE EURO. THE EURO TAKES A TIGHTER VORT CENTER FROM THE TX
PANHANDLE 12Z FRI ESE TOWARD THE GULF COAST. IT THEN PULLS THE
FEATURE EWD ALONG THE ENTIRE NRN GULF COAST. THIS RESULTS IN A
MUCH MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK FOR THE SURFACE LOW...WHICH PASSES JUST
S OF NEW ORLEANS SAT MORNING BEFORE SWEEPING EWD ACROSS THE NE
GULF NEAR OUR COASTLINE. THE GFS BRINGS THE PRIMARY SURFACE LOW
NEWD FROM THE ARKLATEX TO THE SRN APPALACHIANS DURING THIS TIME.
WHILE THERE IS NOW SOME HINT OF A GULF COAST WAVE ON THE FRONT IN
THE GFS...IT DOES NOT DEVELOP AND INSTEAD WE SEE A STRONG COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE FRI NIGHT INTO SAT MORNING. SINCE THIS LATTER
SOLUTION IS CLOSER TO CONTINUITY AND WHAT WE HAVE BEEN ADVERTISING
IN OUR FORECAST...WE WILL STICK WITH IT FOR NOW.

THIS MEANS WE STILL SHOW SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR SHOWERS CREEPING
INTO THE NWRN ZONES LATE IN THE DAY FRI WITH 40 POPS OVERNIGHT W
AND CHRISTMAS MORNING E. THIS IS A SLIGHT SLOW DOWN OVER THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST. AFTER THE FRONT CLEARS...AN ARCTIC BLAST WILL
SURGE INTO THE GULF. LOOK FOR A WIDESPREAD COLD ADVECTION LIGHT
FREEZE SAT NIGHT. HIGHS ON SUN AND MON WILL ONLY BE IN THE UPPER
40S N AND LOWER 50S S WITH PLENTY OF COOL BREEZES. WIND CHILL
ADVISORY CRITERIA MAY BE MET DURING THIS TIME. A HARD FREEZE LOOKS
LIKELY BOTH MON AND TUE MORNINGS. THE MODELS HAVE BEEN
INCONSISTENT WITH THE MAGNITUDE OF THIS ARCTIC OUTBREAK AND TEMPS
COULD CERTAINLY GET COLDER THAN CURRENTLY ADVERTISED.


Clouds at 4pm Tuesday, originally uploaded by wtvywxteam.

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