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It is summer down there, remember…

From Brandon Bryant @ WTVY

Assuming you have clear skies overhead, the time table above shows you the schedule for our overnight Total Lunar Eclipse.

Look for the story about tonight’s eclipse on one of our earlier posts today. It’s the one with the big red moon picture.



Christmas Tree in the WTVY Lobby, originally uploaded by wtvywxteam.

Sent from my Droid.

Tomorrow, December 21st, is the calender’s “official” first day of Winter, also known as the Winter Solstice. Because of the 23.5 degree tilt of the earth, during the Winter, the northern hemisphere receives less direct daylight than the southern hemisphere and the Solstice marks the SHORTEST day of daylight.

While this does happen every year, a Total Lunar Eclipse does NOT occur every year. The last one occured back on Febuary 10, 2008, and the next one will be December 10, 2011.

The last time a Total Lunar Eclipse happened ON the Winter Solstice (technically December 21st) was in the year 1638!

 

A Total Lunar Eclipse is when the moon and sun are perfectly aligned, with the earth in the middle of them.  When the moon goes behind the earth’s shadow, indirect sunlight casts the color on the moon. Overnight tonight the moon will look brilliantly bright red hued.

This will take place over several hours. For our eastern side of the continent, it will take place between the hours of 12:30 and 4 am, and can be viewed with the naked eye! 

The bonus for us here is that the weather will be nice and clear (albeit chilly) for this event.

The next full lunar eclipse that will occur at the end of 2011, but will not be visible from the northern hemisphere, so go check it out tonight.

Some names of December’s full moon in different cultures are: Colonial American: The Christmas Moon, Chinese: The Bitter Moon, Celtic: The Cold Moon, Choctaw American Indian: Peach Moon

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
235 PM EST FRI DEC 17 2010

.SYNOPSIS...

SATURDAY...THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE DRIFT NEWD WITH
CONTINUED CLOUD COVER AND SHOWER ACTIVITY INTO THE MORNING HOURS. A
GENERAL DECREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE EVENING
AS THE LOW/WAVE SWEEPS OUT INTO THE WRN ATLANTIC AND THE COLD FRONT
FINALLY MOVES ACROSS THE AREA AIDED BY ABOVE SHORTWAVE. THIS WILL
RESULT IN AN EAST-WEST GRADIENT IN SHOWER ACTIVITY. WILL GO WITH
50-80 SW-NE POP GRADIENT IN MORNING...DROPPING TO 30-60 W-E GRADIENT
IN AFTN...FOLLOWED BY 0-30 PCT AFTER SUNSET. SHARP TEMP/POP GRADIENT
DEFINED BY POSITION OF FRONT. EXPECT HIGHS FROM LOW-MID 50S SE
ALA/SW GA/PANHANDLE UP TO MID 60S SE BIG BEND. DESPITE NOTICEABLY
COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS BUILDING IN IN THE WAKE OF FRONT...WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ELEVATED SO NO FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
ANTICIPATED. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM MID 30S SE ALA/SW GA TO MID 40S SE
BIG BEND.

SUNDAY...LINGERING CLOUDS (WRAP AROUND MOISTURE) OVER THE ERN THIRD
OF THE REGION WILL CLEAR OUT BY AFTERNOON AS A MORE STABLE AIRMASS
MOVES IN PLACE. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL STRUGGLE INTO THE MID 50S AS
NORTHERLY FLOW FILTERS COOL AIR SOUTHWARD. THIS NIGHT WILL BE THE
COLDEST OF THE PERIOD WITH LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 30S IN THE COLDEST
LOCALES. A LIGHT FREEZE IS POSSIBLE BUT WILL BE MILDER THAN RECENT
ARCTIC OUTBREAKS.

MONDAY...TEMPS WILL BEGIN TO MODERATE WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID
60S.

We’re now a week out from Christmas Eve…and 8 days out from Christmas…so this blog is *SUBJECT TO CHANGE* as we get closer to the Holiday, but I figured I would publish my initial thoughts for Christmas Weather.

While multiple rounds of snow are possible across the northeast, the southeast looks like we will be dry, and seasonable.  Average highs in late December around southeast Alabama are around 58-62. We’re looking at mid 50’s right now, with morning lows in the 30’s with dry conditions and breezy conditions with a north wind.

This is currently contingent on a mid/late week cold front and it’s timing and potency, but for now I am going to say High 57, Low 34 on Christmas, North Wind 10-15 mph.

Rainy and wet throughout the Wiregrass with more on the way overnight, Friday and early Saturday.

Sent from my Droid.



Clouds West of Dothan at 3pm, originally uploaded by wtvywxteam.

Sent from my Droid.

This Hard Freeze Warning is in effect through 8am Wednesday.

Temperatures will start to rebound to more normal levels Thursday.

 

By Paul Yeager Aol.com

(Dec. 13) — The second outbreak of Arctic cold in two weeks has hit the U.S., and residents in much of the eastern two-thirds of the nation will shiver again this week: Temperatures Tuesday morning will range from close to 30 below zero in International Falls, Minn., to near freezing in Miami.

While weather extremes are often blamed on either the El Nino or La Nina weather phenomena, it’s a lesser-known weather factor, the Arctic Oscillation, that’s more responsible for the bitter one-two punch. A “negative” phase of the oscillation occurs when atmospheric pressures are high over the high latitudes and low over the middle latitudes, resulting in a north-to-south Arctic flow across North America.

It doesn’t take a four-year degree in meteorology to understand that a flow from the North Pole into the United States is a very cold pattern in the winter.

But in contrast, a “positive” phase of the Arctic Oscillation, which is when atmospheric pressures are lower over the high latitudes and higher over the middle latitudes, generally results in less frigid conditions across the United States.

A dramatic change in the oscillation doesn’t have an immediate impact on the weather; the effects are usually felt a week or two later. The oscillation’s recent negative peak was in late November, and the Arctic cold arrived in force during the first part of December. The current cold snap is forecast to last through midweek, and then temperatures should begin to moderate.


Heading into the winter, the main weather factor talked about by meteorologists was the strengthening La Nina. A La Nina is a cooling of the surface of the tropical regions of the Pacific Ocean, and changes in sea-surface temperatures in the warmest part of the largest ocean of the world tend to influence global weather patterns in a fairly predictable manner. Long-range forecasts reflected colder- and snowier-than-normal weather in the Pacific Northwest and Northern Rockies and drier- and warmer-than-normal weather in the southern tier of the country — typical weather patterns of a La Nina winter.

The La Nina is alive and well, having already influenced winter weather patterns across the U.S. and likely to dominate weather patterns from coast-to-coast before the winter is over. But the La Nina is not the only weather game in town, and the recent negative phase of the Arctic Oscillation was enough to counteract some of the typical effects of La Nina, at least in the eastern half of the country. The effect has been particularly dramatic in the Southeast, where predicted warmer-than-normal weather has been replaced by bitter cold.

A similar event happened last winter. An El Nino was the main weather factor talked about by forecasters heading into the winter season. An El Nino is a warming of the surface of the tropical regions of the Pacific Ocean and typically results in more frequent and more intense storms in the southern U.S.

The El Nino was a dominant factor for much of last winter, with the southern storms resulting in drought-breaking rain in the Southwest and fueling several major snowstorms in the mid-Atlantic and Northeast.

For a time in January, though, the southern storms stopped while Arctic air invaded from the north, resulting in some of the coldest Florida weather in years. The bitter blast was a reflection of a negative Arctic Oscillation that was strong enough to counteract the effects of El Nino.

WWUS72 KTAE 141402
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
902 AM EST TUE DEC 14 2010

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134- GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-151400-
/O.EXP.KTAE.HZ.W.0018.000000T0000Z-101214T1400Z/
/O.UPG.KTAE.HZ.A.0015.101215T0400Z-101215T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.HZ.W.0019.101215T0400Z-101215T1400Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON- COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON- COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN- EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…DOTHAN…KINSEY…
COWARTS…WEBB…COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS… HUDSON…BONIFAY…CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…
MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE…MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…
BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…WEWAHITCHKA…QUINCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE… TALLAHASSEE…SPRING HILL…MONTICELLO…MADISON…GREENVILLE… SWEETWATER…CRAWFORDVILLE…PERRY…MIDWAY…MAYO…CROSS CITY… FREEPORT…SANTA ROSA BEACH…PANAMA CITY…PARKER…
PORT SAINT JOE…APALACHICOLA…CARRABELLE…SOPCHOPPY…
SAINT MARKS…KEATON BEACH…STEINHATCHEE…SUWANNEE…
GEORGETOWN…FORT GAINES…CUTHBERT…SHELLMAN…ARLINGTON… MORGAN…EDISON…LEARY…DAWSON…ALBANY…LEESBURG…
SMITHVILLE…SYLVESTER…ASHBURN…TIFTON…FITZGERALD…OCILLA… DOUGLASVILLE…BLAKELY…COLQUITT…NEWTON…CAMILLA…PELHAM… MOULTRIE…ADEL…SPARKS…NASHVILLE…DONALSONVILLE…
BAINBRIDGE…CAIRO…THOMASVILLE…QUITMAN…VALDOSTA…LAKELAND 902 AM EST TUE DEC 14 2010 /802 AM CST TUE DEC 14 2010/

Hard Freeze Warning in Effect From 11 PM EST /10 PM Cst/ This Evening to 9 AM EST /8 AM Cst/ Wednesday,
, Hard Freeze Warning will Expire at 9 AM EST /8 AM Cst/ This Morning…

the National Weather Service in tallahassee has issued a hard freeze warning, which is in effect from 11 PM EST /10 PM cst/ this evening to 9 AM EST /8 AM cst/ wednesday.

the strong high pressure responsible for the recent arctic outbreak will move over the forecast area overnight into wednesday morning. this will lead to calm winds overnight and allow minimum
temperatures to plummet to around 20 degrees..Possibly lower, in the normally coldest inland locations.

a long duration hard freeze is forecast for overnight tonight into wednesday morning. hard freeze durations during this time will be 7 to 9 hours with total freeze durations of up to 14 hours.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a hard freeze warning means temperatures well below freezing are imminent or highly likely. these conditions can kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. a hard freeze can also be dangerous to people and animals that are not properly protected from the cold. it is generally not necessary to run water overnight to protect pipes, unless the pipes are exposed, such as the pipes in some trailers, houses on stilts, and pipes connected to
swimming pools.

&&

WWUS72 KTAE 140828
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
328 AM EST TUE DEC 14 2010

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134- GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-141930-
/O.NEW.KTAE.HZ.A.0015.101215T0400Z-101215T1400Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.HZ.W.0018.000000T0000Z-101214T1400Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON- COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON- COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN- EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…DOTHAN…KINSEY…
COWARTS…WEBB…COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS… HUDSON…BONIFAY…CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…
MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE…MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…
BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…WEWAHITCHKA…QUINCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE… TALLAHASSEE…SPRING HILL…MONTICELLO…MADISON…GREENVILLE… SWEETWATER…CRAWFORDVILLE…PERRY…MIDWAY…MAYO…CROSS CITY… FREEPORT…SANTA ROSA BEACH…PANAMA CITY…PARKER…
PORT SAINT JOE…APALACHICOLA…CARRABELLE…SOPCHOPPY…
SAINT MARKS…KEATON BEACH…STEINHATCHEE…SUWANNEE…
GEORGETOWN…FORT GAINES…CUTHBERT…SHELLMAN…ARLINGTON… MORGAN…EDISON…LEARY…DAWSON…ALBANY…LEESBURG…
SMITHVILLE…SYLVESTER…ASHBURN…TIFTON…FITZGERALD…OCILLA… DOUGLASVILLE…BLAKELY…COLQUITT…NEWTON…CAMILLA…PELHAM… MOULTRIE…ADEL…SPARKS…NASHVILLE…DONALSONVILLE…
BAINBRIDGE…CAIRO…THOMASVILLE…QUITMAN…VALDOSTA…LAKELAND 328 AM EST TUE DEC 14 2010 /228 AM CST TUE DEC 14 2010/

Hard Freeze Warning Remains in Effect Until 9 AM EST /8 Am
Cst/ This Morning,
, Hard Freeze Watch is In Effect From Overnight Tonight
Through Early Wednesday Morning…

a hard freeze warning remains in effect until 9 AM EST /8 AM cst/ this morning. the National Weather Service in tallahassee has issued a hard freeze watch, which is in effect from overnight tonight through early wednesday morning.

the strong high pressure responsible for the recent arctic
outbreak will lie very close to the forecast area overnight into wednesday morning. winds will die off allowing minimum
temperatures to plummet to around 20 degrees..Possibly lower, in the normally coldest inland locations.

so, a long duration hard freeze is forecast for overnight
tonight into wednesday morning. hard freeze durations during this time will be 7 to 9 hours with total freeze durations of up to 14 hours.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a hard freeze warning means temperatures well below freezing are imminent or highly likely. these conditions can kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. a hard freeze can also be dangerous to people and animals that are not properly protected from the cold. it is generally not necessary to run water overnight to protect pipes, unless the pipes are exposed, such as the pipes in some trailers, houses on stilts, and pipes connected to
swimming pools.

a hard freeze watch means sub-freezing temperatures are
possible. these conditions could kill crops and other sensitive vegetation.

&&

Hard Freeze Warning and Wind Chill Advisory through 8am Tuesday.

 

WWUS72 KTAE 132006
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
306 PM EST MON DEC 13 2010

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134- GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-141400-
/O.EXP.KTAE.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-101213T2000Z/
/O.UPG.KTAE.HZ.A.0014.101214T0400Z-101214T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.HZ.W.0018.101214T0400Z-101214T1400Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON- COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON- COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN- EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…DOTHAN…KINSEY…
COWARTS…WEBB…COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS… HUDSON…BONIFAY…CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…
MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE…MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…
BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…WEWAHITCHKA…QUINCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE… TALLAHASSEE…SPRING HILL…MONTICELLO…MADISON…GREENVILLE… SWEETWATER…CRAWFORDVILLE…PERRY…MIDWAY…MAYO…CROSS CITY… FREEPORT…SANTA ROSA BEACH…PANAMA CITY…PARKER…
PORT SAINT JOE…APALACHICOLA…CARRABELLE…SOPCHOPPY…
SAINT MARKS…KEATON BEACH…STEINHATCHEE…SUWANNEE…
GEORGETOWN…FORT GAINES…CUTHBERT…SHELLMAN…ARLINGTON… MORGAN…EDISON…LEARY…DAWSON…ALBANY…LEESBURG…
SMITHVILLE…SYLVESTER…ASHBURN…TIFTON…FITZGERALD…OCILLA… DOUGLASVILLE…BLAKELY…COLQUITT…NEWTON…CAMILLA…PELHAM… MOULTRIE…ADEL…SPARKS…NASHVILLE…DONALSONVILLE…
BAINBRIDGE…CAIRO…THOMASVILLE…QUITMAN…VALDOSTA…LAKELAND 306 PM EST MON DEC 13 2010 /206 PM CST MON DEC 13 2010/

Hard Freeze Warning in Effect From 11 PM EST /10 PM Cst/ This Evening to 9 AM EST /8 AM Cst/ Tuesday,
, Wind Advisory Has Expired…

the National Weather Service in tallahassee has issued a hard freeze warning, which is in effect from 11 PM EST /10 PM cst/ this evening to 9 AM EST /8 AM cst/ tuesday. the wind advisory is no longer in effect.

a long duration hard freeze is forecast for tonight into tuesday morning. hard freeze durations during this time will be 8 to 10 hours with total freeze durations of up to 16 hours.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a hard freeze warning means temperatures well below freezing are imminent or highly likely. these conditions can kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. a hard freeze can also be dangerous to people and animals that are not properly protected from the cold. it is generally not necessary to run water overnight to protect pipes, unless the pipes are exposed, such as the pipes in some trailers, houses on stilts, and pipes connected to
swimming pools.

a wind advisory means that sustained winds or frequent gusts will exceed 26 mph. gusts this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. use extra caution.

&&

Taken by Meteorologist Ben Smith from WHNT in Huntsville around 3 am Monday morning. Brrr!!!

WWUS72 KTAE 130813
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
313 AM EST MON DEC 13 2010

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161- 132130-
/O.NEW.KTAE.WI.Y.0002.101213T1300Z-101213T2000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.HZ.W.0017.101213T1000Z-101213T1400Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.HZ.A.0014.101214T0400Z-101214T1400Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY- RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN- EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…DOTHAN…KINSEY…
COWARTS…WEBB…COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS… HUDSON…BONIFAY…CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…
MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE…MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…
BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…WEWAHITCHKA…QUINCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE… TALLAHASSEE…SPRING HILL…MONTICELLO…MADISON…GREENVILLE… SWEETWATER…CRAWFORDVILLE…PERRY…MIDWAY…MAYO…CROSS CITY… GEORGETOWN…FORT GAINES…CUTHBERT…SHELLMAN…ARLINGTON… MORGAN…EDISON…LEARY…DAWSON…ALBANY…LEESBURG…
SMITHVILLE…SYLVESTER…ASHBURN…TIFTON…FITZGERALD…OCILLA… DOUGLASVILLE…BLAKELY…COLQUITT…NEWTON…CAMILLA…PELHAM… MOULTRIE…ADEL…SPARKS…NASHVILLE…DONALSONVILLE…
BAINBRIDGE…CAIRO…THOMASVILLE…QUITMAN…VALDOSTA…LAKELAND 313 AM EST MON DEC 13 2010 /213 AM CST MON DEC 13 2010/

Hard Freeze Warning Remains in Effect From 5 AM EST /4 AM Cst/ To 9 AM EST /8 AM Cst/ This Morning,
, Wind Advisory in Effect From 8 AM EST /7 AM Cst/ This Morning To 3 PM EST /2 PM Cst/ This Afternoon,
, Hard Freeze Watch Remains in Effect From This Evening Through Tuesday Morning…

the National Weather Service in tallahassee has issued a wind advisory, which is in effect from 8 AM EST /7 AM cst/ this
morning to 3 PM EST /2 PM cst/ this afternoon. a hard freeze warning remains in effect from 5 AM EST /4 AM cst/ to 9 AM EST /8 AM cst/ this morning. a hard freeze watch remains in effect from this evening through tuesday morning.

the blast of arctic air will continue to bring breezy winds with frequent gusts in excess of 26 mph this morning into afternoon across much of the tri-state area. for this reason a wind advisory was issued. winds should decrease with gusts falling below
advisory levels beginning this afternoon.

a much longer duration hard freeze is forecast for tonight night into tuesday morning. hard freeze durations during this time will be 8 to 10 hours with total freeze durations of up to 16 hours.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a hard freeze warning means temperatures well below freezing are imminent or highly likely. these conditions can kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. a hard freeze can also be dangerous to people and animals that are not properly protected from the cold. it is generally not necessary to run water overnight to protect pipes, unless the pipes are exposed, such as the pipes in some trailers, houses on stilts, and pipes connected to
swimming pools.

a hard freeze watch means sub-freezing temperatures are possible. these conditions could kill crops and other sensitive vegetation.

a wind advisory means that sustained winds or frequent gusts will exceed 26 mph. gusts this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. use extra caution.

&&

What may be the coldest air for the entire winter is arriving  in the area today Sunday.

The lowest temperature will occur Tuesday morning, but during both Monday and Wednesday mornings the low temperatures will be almost as cold. HARD FREEZES are expected all three mornings.

However, WIND CHILLS will make you feel even colder Sunday night through much of Monday.

WIND CHILLS:
in the 30s late Sunday morning into the afternoon;
in the 20s late Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening;
in the teens Sunday night (possibly single digit wind chills late);
in the teens early Monday morning;
in the 20s much of Monday daytime.

Please take note of the following cold weather tips.

Be careful how you heat your home – do NOT use outdoor grills or your indoor oven or stove to heat the inside of your house. Watch where you put your portable heaters (keep them away from furniture, curtains, small children and pets).

Try to check on any elderly people who may not have enough heat.

Provide proper care for your pets – such as a shelter from the wind (WIND CHILL affects them too) and provide fresh unfrozen water with plenty of fresh food.

If you have extra heaters, blankets or towels, consider donating them to area human or pet shelters.

If you have outdoor Christmas or holiday decorations, SECURE them from the high winds (possibly gusting above 30 mph) expected on Sunday and Monday.

If low temperatures fall to near 20 degrees, shallow bodies of water would likely have a shallow ice layer on top. This ice could attract small children and pets and possibly lead to tragic consequences. BE ALERT to this possibility.

Consider allowing your inside cold water faucets to drip on those nights that outside temperatures are expected to fall below 26 degrees.

The weather will warm into the 60s by Thursday, but until then, BE CAUTIOUS and SAFE.

More on the arctic outbreak on the Sunday night WTVY-TV news.

- Oscar Fann

WWUS72 KTAE 122213
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
513 PM EST SUN DEC 12 2010

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161- 131400-
/O.NEW.KTAE.HZ.A.0014.101214T0400Z-101214T1400Z/
/O.EXT.KTAE.HZ.W.0017.101213T1000Z-101213T1400Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY- RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN- EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…DOTHAN…KINSEY…
COWARTS…WEBB…COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS… HUDSON…BONIFAY…CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…
MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE…MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…
BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…WEWAHITCHKA…QUINCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE… TALLAHASSEE…SPRING HILL…MONTICELLO…MADISON…GREENVILLE… SWEETWATER…CRAWFORDVILLE…PERRY…MIDWAY…MAYO…CROSS CITY… GEORGETOWN…FORT GAINES…CUTHBERT…SHELLMAN…ARLINGTON… MORGAN…EDISON…LEARY…DAWSON…ALBANY…LEESBURG…
SMITHVILLE…SYLVESTER…ASHBURN…TIFTON…FITZGERALD…OCILLA… DOUGLASVILLE…BLAKELY…COLQUITT…NEWTON…CAMILLA…PELHAM… MOULTRIE…ADEL…SPARKS…NASHVILLE…DONALSONVILLE…
BAINBRIDGE…CAIRO…THOMASVILLE…QUITMAN…VALDOSTA…LAKELAND 513 PM EST SUN DEC 12 2010 /413 PM CST SUN DEC 12 2010/

Hard Freeze Warning now In Effect From 5 AM EST /4 AM Cst/ to 9 AM EST /8 AM Cst/ Monday,
, Hard Freeze Watch in Effect From Monday Night Through Tuesday Morning…

a brief period of hard freeze conditions is expected late tonight into monday morning. hard freeze durations will be up to 4 hours in the coldest locations and 2 to 3 hours across the rest of the warning area. total freeze durations tonight will run 10 to 12 hours across southeast alabama, southwest georgia and inland portions of the florida panhandle, and 8 to 10 hours across south central georgia, and inland portions of the florida big bend.

a much longer duration hard freeze is forecast for monday night into tuesday morning. hard freeze durations during this time will be 8 to 10 hours with total freeze durations of up to 16 hours.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a hard freeze warning means temperatures well below freezing are imminent or highly likely. these conditions can kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. a hard freeze can also be dangerous to people and animals that are not properly protected from the cold. it is generally not necessary to run water overnight to protect pipes, unless the pipes are exposed, such as the pipes in some trailers, houses on stilts, and pipes connected to
swimming pools.

a hard freeze watch means sub-freezing temperatures are possible. these conditions could kill crops and other sensitive vegetation.

&&

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A massive winter storm that formed in the Rocky Mountains swept across eight states in the upper Midwest this weekend, dumping heavy snowfall.

The snow was so heavy in Minneapolis that it collapsed the city’s inflatable Metrodome on Sunday.

The winter system also brought frigid temperatures to the upper Midwest.  Arctic air is expected to drop temperatures below zero by Sunday night throughout the Dakotas and in parts of Iowa, Minnesota and Wisconsin.

It socked the upper Midwest on Saturday with as much as 20 inches of snow, forcing authorities to close roads across five states as heavy winds made for treacherous driving conditions.

North Dakota experienced wind chills of 20 degrees below zero!

WWUS72 KTAE 121014
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
514 AM EST SUN DEC 12 2010

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026-027-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-131300- /O.UPG.KTAE.HZ.A.0013.101213T0700Z-101213T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.HZ.W.0017.101213T0800Z-101213T1300Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH- TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT- COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…DOTHAN…KINSEY…
COWARTS…WEBB…COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS… HUDSON…BONIFAY…CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…
MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE…MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…
BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…WEWAHITCHKA…QUINCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE… TALLAHASSEE…SPRING HILL…MONTICELLO…MADISON…GREENVILLE… SWEETWATER…CRAWFORDVILLE…GEORGETOWN…FORT GAINES…
CUTHBERT…SHELLMAN…ARLINGTON…MORGAN…EDISON…LEARY… DAWSON…ALBANY…LEESBURG…SMITHVILLE…SYLVESTER…ASHBURN… TIFTON…FITZGERALD…OCILLA…DOUGLASVILLE…BLAKELY…
COLQUITT…NEWTON…CAMILLA…PELHAM…MOULTRIE…ADEL…SPARKS… NASHVILLE…DONALSONVILLE…BAINBRIDGE…CAIRO…THOMASVILLE… QUITMAN…VALDOSTA…LAKELAND
514 AM EST SUN DEC 12 2010 /414 AM CST SUN DEC 12 2010/

A Hard Freeze Warning is Now in Effect From 3 AM EST /2 Am
Cst/ to 8 AM EST /7 AM Cst/ Monday…

the National Weather Service in tallahassee has issued a hard freeze warning, which is in effect from 3 AM EST /2 AM cst/ to 8 AM EST /7 AM cst/ monday.

three to five hours of temperatures less than 26 degrees are expected tonight, with low temperatures bottoming out between 20 and 24 degrees.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a hard freeze warning means temperatures well below freezing are imminent or highly likely. these conditions can kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. a hard freeze can also be dangerous to people and animals that are not properly protected from the cold. it is generally not necessary to run water overnight to protect pipes, unless the pipes are exposed, such as the pipes in some trailers, houses on stilts, and pipes connected to swimming
pools.

&&

WWUS72 KTAE 120200
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
900 PM EST SAT DEC 11 2010

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026-027-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-122100- /O.NEW.KTAE.HZ.A.0013.101213T0700Z-101213T1400Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH- TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT- COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…DOTHAN…KINSEY…
COWARTS…WEBB…COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS… HUDSON…BONIFAY…CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…
MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE…MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…
BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…WEWAHITCHKA…QUINCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE… TALLAHASSEE…SPRING HILL…MONTICELLO…MADISON…GREENVILLE… SWEETWATER…CRAWFORDVILLE…GEORGETOWN…FORT GAINES…
CUTHBERT…SHELLMAN…ARLINGTON…MORGAN…EDISON…LEARY… DAWSON…ALBANY…LEESBURG…SMITHVILLE…SYLVESTER…ASHBURN… TIFTON…FITZGERALD…OCILLA…DOUGLASVILLE…BLAKELY…
COLQUITT…NEWTON…CAMILLA…PELHAM…MOULTRIE…ADEL…SPARKS… NASHVILLE…DONALSONVILLE…BAINBRIDGE…CAIRO…THOMASVILLE… QUITMAN…VALDOSTA…LAKELAND
900 PM EST SAT DEC 11 2010 /800 PM CST SAT DEC 11 2010/

Hard Freeze Watch in Effect From Late Sunday Night Through
Monday Morning…

the National Weather Service in tallahassee has issued a hard freeze watch, which is in effect from late sunday night through monday morning.

two or more hours of temperatures less than 26 degrees are
expected.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a hard freeze watch means sub-freezing temperatures are possible. these conditions could kill crops and other sensitive vegetation.

&&

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
255 PM EST SAT DEC 11 2010

...ANOTHER ARCTIC OUTBREAK APPEARS LIKELY FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE TRI-STATE AREA...

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)...NOT MUCH TO ADD TO WHAT
HAS ALREADY BEEN MENTIONED. AN ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL SPILL INTO THE
TRI-STATE REGION BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING. THE FRONT WILL BE PRECEDED BY A DECENT LINE OF SHOWERS WITH
AN OUTSIDE CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO. THE BEST
CHANCE FOR A THUNDERSTORM WILL BE ACROSS THE PANHANDLE COASTAL
WATERS AND COASTAL ZONES. WITH STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION ON SUNDAY
OUR SE AL AND OUR NORTHWEST GEORGIA ZONES MAY EXPERIENCE STEADY
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S POSSIBLY DROPPING INTO THE
UPPER 30S BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. THESE TEMPERATURES IN
COMBINATION WITH SUSTAINED WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH
WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE THE LOWER TO MID 30S. THE REMAINDER OF THE
CWA WILL SEE MAX TEMPS IN THE UPPER 40S AND 50S WITH WIND CHILLS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S AWAY FROM THE FLORIDA COAST. I`M LESS
OPTIMISTIC FOR MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES BY AFTERNOON AS WRAP AROUND
MOISTURE SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT ENOUGH TO GENERATE A STRATO-CU FIELD.
THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES WITH THIS AIRMASS WILL NOT FELT UNTIL
TUESDAY MORNING HOWEVER A HARD FREEZE IS POSSIBLE AT LEAST FOR OUR
SE AL AND GA ZONES BY DAYBREAK MONDAY. THE ONLY INHIBITING FACTOR
WILL BE WINDS FORECAST TO BE IN THE 10 TO 15 MPH RANGE SUNDAY NIGHT.
IF THE CONDITIONS VERIFIES...WE WOULD SEE WIND CHILL READINGS IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS TO MID TEENS THROUGHOUT THE CWA AWAY FROM COASTAL
AREAS WHICH WOULD PROMPT THE ISSUANCE OF A RARE WIND CHILL ADVISORY.
COLD AIR ADVECTION CONTINUES MONDAY ON BRISK NORTHWEST TO NORTH
WINDS WITH MAX TEMPS ONLY REACHING THE LOWER TO MID 40S EVEN UNDER
MOSTLY SUNNY OR SUNNY SKIES.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...THE LONG TERM PERIOD
BEGINS WITH THE LARGE EAST COAST TROF ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST
DOWN TO THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS. NEEDLESS TO SAY...THE ARCTIC BLAST
WILL BE IN FULL FORCE ACROSS OUR REGION. HIGH PRESSURE AT THE
SURFACE WILL INITIALLY REMAIN LOCATED ACROSS THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI
RIVER VALLEY...BUT MODELS SHOW THE HIGH DROPPING INTO THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. WHETHER WE SEE LOW TEMPERATURES TUESDAY
MORNING AS LOW AS WE SAW WITH THE LAST ARCTIC OUTBREAK HINGES
GREATLY ON THE SURFACE HIGH POSITION. WHILE THERE IS NOT DOUBT THAT
THE INCOMING AIRMASS IS QUITE COLD (AND VERY DRY)...THERE HAVE BEEN
TOO MANY INSTANCES OBSERVED IN THE PAST WHERE A VERY COLD AIRMASS IS
IN PLACE...BUT TOO MUCH WIND AT NIGHT PREVENTS LOWS FROM REACHING
PREDICTED VALUES. LATEST MEX GUIDANCE RANGES FROM THE UPPER TEENS TO
LOW 20S ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. THE 11/00Z MEX VALUES ARE
SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN THE PREVIOUS CYCLE. GIVEN POTENTIAL NEGATIVE
FACTORS TO SEEING TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE TEENS...WILL OPT FOR A
SOLUTION TUESDAY MORNING THAT IS A BLEND OF THE CURRENT FORECAST AND
THE LATEST MEX NUMBERS.

TUESDAY STILL LOOKS TO BE A COLD DAY...THOUGH THE WIND WILL SLACK
OFF CONSIDERABLY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN THE TENNESSEE RIVER
VALLEY TOWARD THE GULF COAST. HIGHS WILL STILL STRUGGLE TO BREAK OUT
OF THE 40S. EVEN THOUGH THE AIRMASS WILL BEGIN TO MODIFY BY TUESDAY
NIGHT...THE SURFACE RIDGE POSITION IN THE GFS AND EURO LOOK VERY
FAVORABLE FOR AN EXTENSIVE PERIOD OF CALM WINDS OVERNIGHT...SO WE
COULD BE LOOKING WITH A WIDESPREAD HARD FREEZE BY WEDNESDAY MORNING
WITH TEMPERATURES NEARLY AS COLD AS THOSE ON TUESDAY MORNING.

BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND BEYOND...THE WARMING TREND BEGINS WITH
THE OVERALL PATTERN ACROSS THE SOUTH SHIFTING TO A WARMER ONE AS THE
MID LEVEL PATTERN BECOMES MORE ZONAL AND SURFACE RIDGING MOVES TO
THE FLORIDA EAST COAST. DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE EURO AND GFS BECOME
SIGNIFICANT BY LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS LACK OF RUN TO RUN AND
MODEL TO MODEL CONSISTENCY MAKES THE FORECAST HIGHLY UNCERTAIN. THIS
CYCLE...THE GFS IS SHOWING A POTENTIAL FRONTAL PASSAGE BY SATURDAY
EVENING WITH COOLER AIR RETURNING. THIS WOULD SEEM TO MATCH WITH THE
EURO AND GFS STRENGTHENING RIDGING ACROSS THE ROCKIES (WHICH WOULD
LEAD TO AN AMPLIFICATION OF THE EAST COAST TROF)...BUT THIS IS A
FLIP FROM THE RUN 24 HOURS AGO...SO WILL OPT FOR A BLEND OF
PERSISTENCE AND THE LATEST MODEL PREDICTIONS.

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