You are currently browsing the monthly archive for January 2011.

As of late Monday night, there’s a slight chance (less than 10%) for some severe storms in our area after 3pm Tuesday – most likely after nightfall and continuing throughout the evening.

As of now, the biggest threat appears to be the potential for wind-related damage.

Conditions near you could change quickly with the arrival of Tuesday night’s cold front.

A friend of mine sent me a link to an article he read in the Washington Post about the problems that electric cars would have in snowstorms… like the ones that have been hitting the Northeast over the last couple of months – and do so very consistently year-after-year…

If you have a few minutes, it’s a very interesting read – especially if you’re like me and think that electric cars sound like a great idea… But, the truth is until they get the battery problem fixed, it’s just a great sounding idea that does not work for the great majority of Amerians…

Click here for the story…

Three different rain episodes are headed our way by Friday Feb 4.

The first is ongoing and is mostly light rain with little chance of thunder. It will end early Monday with mild weather hanging around through Tuesday.

The second episode will have the highest potential for heavier rains and possible thunderstorms. That begins either late Tuesday afternoon or more likely Tuesday evening, ending by midday Wednesday.

Thunderstorms that may be strong to severe in Louisiana and Mississippi earlier Tuesday are expected to weaken by the time they arrive in the WTVY-TV viewing area later Tuesday.

A cold front moves through the area Wednesday but stalls in the central Gulf.

The third rain episode occurs as a low develops on the stalled front and brings rain back to the area Thursday afternoon through Friday morning.

It will be a cold rain with highs only in the 40s on Thursday In fact, areas from Laverne – Troy – Eufaula northward may have a mix of frozen precipitation.

The 1st episode has the lightest rain (average 0.25″); the 2nd has the heaviest rain (average 1.0-1.5″); and the 3rd episode in between (average 0.50″).

In all, the weekly totals should be around 1.5 to 3.0 inches – great potential to dent the drought!

Martha and Connor will have the latest as we go through the week.

Oh, by the way, for now the upcoming weekend looks dry and sunny but cool, not cold.

Meanwhile, take a tip from the following photo, stay dry and wait it out.

WWUS72 KTAE 301132
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
632 AM EST SUN JAN 30 2011

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>017-026-027-108-112-114-115-127-301400-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FG.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-110130T1400Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-LIBERTY-INLAND WAKULLA-SOUTH WALTON- COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL WAKULLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…DOTHAN…KINSEY…
COWARTS…WEBB…COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS… HUDSON…BONIFAY…CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…
MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE…MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…
BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…WEWAHITCHKA…QUINCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE… TALLAHASSEE…SPRING HILL…SWEETWATER…CRAWFORDVILLE…
FREEPORT…SANTA ROSA BEACH…PANAMA CITY…PARKER…
PORT SAINT JOE…APALACHICOLA…CARRABELLE…SOPCHOPPY…
SAINT MARKS
632 AM EST SUN JAN 30 2011 /532 AM CST SUN JAN 30 2011/

Dense Fog Advisory now In Effect Until 9 AM EST /8 AM Cst/
This Morning…

the dense fog advisory is now in effect until 9 AM EST /8 AM cst/ this morning.

areas of dense fog continue to spread across much of northern florida and into southeast alabama. visibilities at times will drop below one quarter miles making travel difficult. the fog will thin out and lift within a couple hours of sunrise.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a dense fog advisory means visibilities will frequently be
reduced to less than one quarter mile. if driving, slow down, use your low beam headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you.

&&

WWUS72 KTAE 301119
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
619 AM EST SUN JAN 30 2011

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>017-026-027-108-112-114-115-127-301430-
/O.EXB.KTAE.FG.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-110131T1400Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-LIBERTY-INLAND WAKULLA-SOUTH WALTON- COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL WAKULLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…DOTHAN…KINSEY…
COWARTS…WEBB…COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS… HUDSON…BONIFAY…CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…
MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE…MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…
BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…WEWAHITCHKA…QUINCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE… TALLAHASSEE…SPRING HILL…SWEETWATER…CRAWFORDVILLE…
FREEPORT…SANTA ROSA BEACH…PANAMA CITY…PARKER…
PORT SAINT JOE…APALACHICOLA…CARRABELLE…SOPCHOPPY…
SAINT MARKS
619 AM EST SUN JAN 30 2011 /519 AM CST SUN JAN 30 2011/

Dense Fog Advisory in Effect Until 9 AM EST /8 AM Cst/
Monday…

the National Weather Service in tallahassee has issued a dense fog advisory, which is in effect until 9 AM EST /8 AM cst/
monday.

areas of fog will become locally dense through the early morning hours across the eastern big bend. visibilities at times will drop below one quarter miles making travel difficult at times through sunrise. the fog will thin out and lift within a couple hours of sunrise.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a dense fog advisory means visibilities will frequently be
reduced to less than one quarter mile. if driving, slow down, use your low beam headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you.

&&

  On this day in history twenty five years ago, the space shuttle Challenger exploded just over one minute after take off. Seven crew members lost their lives, including one civilian teacher. I was just two years old the day this happened, but I can only imagine simmilar feelings of the nation as I felt on September 11, 2001.

   I have family that has lived fifteen minutes from Cape Canaveral and Kennedy Space Center, and I myself attended college an hour away. I have seen numerous launches over the years, but none directly from the Cape. With space exploration only about 20 years old at the time, this was a very novel launch for the United States, as many still are. Where were you at 11:38 am EST?

As with many major disasters in United States history, much has been learned following the event. Weather criteria is a major role within NASA, as the slightest variations in wind, temperature, humidity, visibility and precipitation. The Challenger explosion became a catalyst to become more scrupulous when calling off launches due to weather. It also reinforces the powerful role in attention to detail, and forecasting in terms of science.

While there is almost always an element of human error in events such as this…there is always a human reaction. This event was a momentous one for people who were of an age that could remember it. A civilian was going to space to teach the masses, and six other astronauts gave the ultimate sacrifice in the name of advancing science and technology. We owe it to them as United States citizens to reflect on this event and never forget what they did for our nation. By honoring their memory we honor our country, and by continuing to support space exploration we respect their legacy and validate their devotion.

Ice and cold temperatures played a role in the Challenger’s demise, due to a faulty O-ring. A mistake that should not have been overlooked. Temperatures on the morning of the launch were unusually cold, around 31 degrees.  They should have waited. But with nothing to be done about it now, we must always respect those who decide to do such momentous exploration, in the name of science, technology and humanity.

In the words of former President Ronald Reagan…

“The crew of the space shuttle Challenger honored us by the manner in which they lived their lives. We will never forget them, nor the last time we saw them, this morning, as they prepared for their journey and waved goodbye and “slipped the surly bonds of earth” to “touch the face of God.”

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Photos taken by my family in Central CT where they have recorded ovr 25″ in the past 30 days!

Thursday Morning in Central Connecticut. Over a foot of wet snow….7th storm since Christmas. Makes you appreciate our weather a little more.

60′s to look forward to this weekend, cheers!

Dry air from the passing cold front will allow for a number of local areas to see some frost early Thursday morning.

Some locations will be in the upper 20s.

Then, sunshine will rule the day with temps pushing into the mid 50s.

Sent from my Droid.

The low clouds will clear out completely by mid-morning today and turn sunny all afternoon. A chilly day is ahead with highs in the upper 40′s to low 50′s!

The WIND today is going to be menacing! Northwest winds will blow from 15-25 mph with isolated stronger gusts. Hold on to your hats, trashcans & yard furniture!

Have no fear….by this weekend we will be comfortably back into the 60′s :-)

The Dense Fog Advisory has now been extended northward through Montgomery to just south of Birmingham.

WWUS72 KTAE 252332
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
632 PM EST TUE JAN 25 2011

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>017-026-027-108-112-114-115-127-GAZ120>126- 142>145-155>157-260600-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FG.Y.0003.110125T2332Z-110126T0600Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-LIBERTY-INLAND WAKULLA-SOUTH WALTON- COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL WAKULLA-QUITMAN- CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL- SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…DOTHAN…KINSEY…
COWARTS…WEBB…COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS… HUDSON…BONIFAY…CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…
MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE…MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…
BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…WEWAHITCHKA…QUINCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE… TALLAHASSEE…SPRING HILL…SWEETWATER…CRAWFORDVILLE…
FREEPORT…SANTA ROSA BEACH…PANAMA CITY…PARKER…
PORT SAINT JOE…APALACHICOLA…CARRABELLE…SOPCHOPPY…
SAINT MARKS…GEORGETOWN…FORT GAINES…CUTHBERT…SHELLMAN… ARLINGTON…MORGAN…EDISON…LEARY…DAWSON…ALBANY…
LEESBURG…SMITHVILLE…DOUGLASVILLE…BLAKELY…COLQUITT… NEWTON…CAMILLA…PELHAM…DONALSONVILLE…BAINBRIDGE…CAIRO 632 PM EST TUE JAN 25 2011 /532 PM CST TUE JAN 25 2011/

Dense Fog Advisory in Effect Until 1 AM EST /midnight Cst/
Wednesday…

the National Weather Service in tallahassee has issued a dense fog advisory, which is in effect until 1 AM EST /midnight cst/ wednesday.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a dense fog advisory means visibilities will frequently be
reduced to less than one quarter mile. if driving, slow
down, use your low beam headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you.

&&

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
820 PM EST MON JAN 24 2011

LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND INCREASING MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS FROM THE
WEST IS KEEPING OUR TEMPS FROM A RAPID FALL THIS EVENING...AND WE
ARE NOT CONCERNED ABOUT ANY FREEZING TEMPS OVERNIGHT.

REST OF TONIGHT...SURFACE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO ORGANIZE AS IT MOVES
EASTWARD TO A POSITION NEAR THE MS DELTA BY DAWN. EXPECT MID/HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS TO INCREASE AND LOWER AFTER MIDNIGHT AS A WARM-FRONTAL
FEATURE DEVELOPS EASTWARD ALONG OUR COAST. ISENTROPIC LIFT/UPGLIDE
ALONG THE 290-305K SURFACES WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE OVER THE REGION
AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH SHOWERS/AREAS OF RAIN BREAKING OUT OVER THE
WESTERN ZONES AFTER 07-09Z. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE IS OFTEN ON THE SLOW
SIDE TO DEVELOP UPGLIDE INITIATED PRECIP AND WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED
TO SEE AT LEAST SHOWERS ARRIVING AT PLACES LIKE TALLAHASSEE AND
ALBANY BY SUNRISE AS WELL.

TUESDAY...A WET DAY ON TAP. ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL QUICKLY SPREAD
SHOWERS/AREAS OF RAIN EASTWARD DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE
MORNING...AND THE PERIODS OF RAIN WILL THEN BE WITH US FOR THE
MAJORITY OF THE DAY. LATER IN THE MORNING...AND THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS...THE OVERSPREADING OF LARGE SCALE LIFT/UPPER LEVEL
DIVERGENCE AHEAD OF THE UPPER TROUGH WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR
THUNDER. SURFACE LOW TRACK ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR WILL KEEP THE
MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST AREA OUT OF THE WARM SECTOR OF THE SYSTEM
AND THEREFORE OUT OF THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER. THE FOLLOWING
PARAGRAPH IS FROM THE AFTERNOON DISCUSSION AND SUMMARIZES THE
THUNDERSTORM THREAT OVER THE FL BIG BEND WHERE THE WARM SECTOR MAY
BRIEFLY ARRIVE.

(FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSION)
AS FOR SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES...THEY LOOK SLIM AT THIS TIME THIS
FAR NORTH. SPC HAS OUTLOOKED MUCH OF THE FL PENINSULA IN A SLIGHT
RISK...WHICH BARELY TOUCHES THE SOUTHERN BOUNDARY OF OUR FORECAST
AREA. ALTHOUGH THE KINEMATICS WILL BE ADEQUATE TO SUPPORT
ORGANIZED STORMS WITH ROTATING UPDRAFTS...THE STABLE MARINE LAYER
WILL LIKELY PREVENT MOST STORMS IN OUR REGION FROM BECOMING
SURFACE BASED. IN FACT...EVERY MODEL WE HAVE SEEN FORECASTS A
LARGE AREA OF ZERO SBCAPE OVER APALACHEE BAY...AS WATER
TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE LOWER 50S (ABOUT 6 F BELOW CLIMO). SO
ALTHOUGH SOME OF THE STORMS THAT DEVELOP ON TUESDAY MAY LOOK
IMPRESSIVE ON RADAR...IT IS HARD TO IMAGINE THAT DAMAGING WINDS
WILL MAKE IT TO THE SURFACE.

MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLE FOR
SOUTHEAST AL...EASTERN FL PANHANDLE ...
SOUTHWEST GA AND FL BIG BEND
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
829 AM EST SAT JAN 22 2011

HIGH TEMPERATURE YESTERDAY
LOW TEMPERATURE PAST 12 HOURS
24 HOUR PRECIPITATION ENDING AT 7AM EST / 6AM CST
.BR TAE 0122 E DH00/TAIRZX/DH07/TAIRZP/PPDRZZ
:AIRPORT OBSERVATIONS - EASTERN TIME ZONE
:AS OF 7AM EST
:                                 MAX   MIN
:                                 TEMP  TEMP   PCPN
TLH  : TALLAHASSEE              :  55 /  29 /  0.15
AAF  : APALACHICOLA             :  54 /  30 /  0.01
40J  : PERRY                    :  54 /  32 /  0.00
CTY  : CROSS CITY               :  57 /  34 /  0.00
JAX  : JACKSONVILLE INTL        :  55 /  44 /    T
ABY  : ALBANY                   :  51 /  23 /  0.01
VAD  : MOODY AFB                :  52 /  27 /  0.00
VLD  : VALDOSTA                 :  55 /  30 /    T
BGE  : BAINBRIDGE               :  50 /  27 /
BIJ  : BLAKELY                  :  50 /  27 /
MGR  : MOULTRIE                 :  52 /  30 /
TVI  : THOMASVILLE              :  51 /  29 /

:AIRPORT OBSERVATIONS - CENTRAL TIME ZONE
:AS OF 6AM CST
:                                 MAX   MIN
:                                 TEMP  TEMP   PCPN
ECP  : PANAMA CITY NW INTL ARPT :  54 /  28 /  0.00
PAM  : TYNDALL AFB              :  53 /  31 /  0.09
VPS  : EGLIN AFB                :  54 /  26 /  0.04
CEW  : CRESTVIEW                :  53 /  26 /  0.00
PNS  : PENSACOLA                :  56 /  28 /  0.00
MAI  : MARIANNA                 :  54 /  27 /  0.06
MOB  : MOBILE                   :  51 /  26 /  0.00
DHN  : DOTHAN                   :  52 /  24 /    T
OZR  : OZARK - CAIRNS AIR FIELD :  51 /  23 /  0.00
LOR  : FT RUCKER HELIPORT       :  51 /  24 /  0.00
:
:COOPERATIVE OBSERVATIONS - EASTERN TIME ZONE
:VALUES FOR PREVIOUS 24 HOURS
:ENDING 7AM EST
:                            OBS     MAX   MIN
:                            TIME    TEMP  TEMP   PCPN
CRSF1: CROSS CITY 1 E      : DH0800/  55 /  34 /  0.01
MTCF1: MONTICELLO 10 SW    : DH0700/  54 /  28 /  0.17
SHMF1: STEINHATCHEE 16W    : DH0655/  56 /  37 /  0.00
CAIG1: CAIRO               : DH0830/  47 /  24 /  0.00
CBTG1: CUTHBERT            : DH0800/  59 /  23 /  0.00
DNVG1: DONALSONVILLE       : DH0825/  51 /  27 /  0.13
FTGG1: FORT GAINES         : DH0800/  48 /  29 /  0.00
GEOG1: GEORGETOWN          : DH0800/  45 /  25 /  0.00
NSHG1: NASHVILLE           : DH0800/  47 /  24 /  0.00
THVG1: THOMASVILLE 3 NE    : DH0830/  49 /  26 /    T







:COOPERATIVE OBSERVATIONS - CENTRAL TIME ZONE
:VALUES FOR PREVIOUS 24 HOURS
:ENDING 6AM CST
:                            OBS     MAX   MIN
:                            TIME    TEMP  TEMP   PCPN
CHPF1: CHIPLEY             : DH0800/  62 /  27 /  0.00
GVAA1: GENEVA              : DH0800/  49 /  23 /  0.00

WWUS72 KTAE 220806
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
306 AM EST SAT JAN 22 2011

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134- GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-231400-
/O.UPG.KTAE.HZ.A.0003.110123T0500Z-110123T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.HZ.W.0004.110123T0500Z-110123T1400Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON- COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON- COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN- EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…DOTHAN…KINSEY…
COWARTS…WEBB…COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS… HUDSON…BONIFAY…CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…
MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE…MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…
BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…WEWAHITCHKA…QUINCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE… TALLAHASSEE…SPRING HILL…MONTICELLO…MADISON…GREENVILLE… SWEETWATER…CRAWFORDVILLE…PERRY…MIDWAY…MAYO…CROSS CITY… FREEPORT…SANTA ROSA BEACH…PANAMA CITY…PARKER…
PORT SAINT JOE…APALACHICOLA…CARRABELLE…SOPCHOPPY…
SAINT MARKS…KEATON BEACH…STEINHATCHEE…SUWANNEE…
GEORGETOWN…FORT GAINES…CUTHBERT…SHELLMAN…ARLINGTON… MORGAN…EDISON…LEARY…DAWSON…ALBANY…LEESBURG…
SMITHVILLE…SYLVESTER…ASHBURN…TIFTON…FITZGERALD…OCILLA… DOUGLASVILLE…BLAKELY…COLQUITT…NEWTON…CAMILLA…PELHAM… MOULTRIE…ADEL…SPARKS…NASHVILLE…DONALSONVILLE…
BAINBRIDGE…CAIRO…THOMASVILLE…QUITMAN…VALDOSTA…LAKELAND 306 AM EST SAT JAN 22 2011 /206 AM CST SAT JAN 22 2011/

Hard Freeze Warning in Effect From midnight EST /11 PM Cst/
Tonight to 9 AM EST /8 AM Cst/ Sunday…

the National Weather Service in tallahassee has issued a hard freeze warning, which is in effect from midnight EST /11 PM cst/ tonight to 9 AM EST /8 AM cst/ sunday. the hard freeze watch is no longer in effect.

as a cold ridge of high pressure slides eastward and settles in right over the tri-state area on tonight and sunday
morning, conditions will become ideal for significant radiational cooling. this will result in winds becoming very light to near calm across all of the region before midnight tonight, which will allow temperatures to fall quickly below freezing. low
temperatures are anticipated to bottom out in the lower to middle 20S just before sunrise, with at least 2 to 4 hours of hard
freeze conditions expected across much of the region. temperatures may be slightly warmer near the immediate coast, including the usually warmer urban areas such as downtown tallahassee.
additionally, total durations of sub-freezing temperatures are likely to range from 6 to 10 hours, before temperatures moderate quickly during the day on sunday under plenty of sunshine.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a hard freeze warning means sub-freezing temperatures are
imminent or highly likely. these conditions
will kill crops and other sensitive vegetation.

&&

WWUS72 KTAE 212314
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
614 PM EST FRI JAN 21 2011

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134- GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-221200-
/O.NEW.KTAE.HZ.A.0003.110123T0500Z-110123T1400Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON- COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON- COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN- EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…DOTHAN…KINSEY…
COWARTS…WEBB…COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS… HUDSON…BONIFAY…CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…
MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE…MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…
BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…WEWAHITCHKA…QUINCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE… TALLAHASSEE…SPRING HILL…MONTICELLO…MADISON…GREENVILLE… SWEETWATER…CRAWFORDVILLE…PERRY…MIDWAY…MAYO…CROSS CITY… FREEPORT…SANTA ROSA BEACH…PANAMA CITY…PARKER…
PORT SAINT JOE…APALACHICOLA…CARRABELLE…SOPCHOPPY…
SAINT MARKS…KEATON BEACH…STEINHATCHEE…SUWANNEE…
GEORGETOWN…FORT GAINES…CUTHBERT…SHELLMAN…ARLINGTON… MORGAN…EDISON…LEARY…DAWSON…ALBANY…LEESBURG…
SMITHVILLE…SYLVESTER…ASHBURN…TIFTON…FITZGERALD…OCILLA… DOUGLASVILLE…BLAKELY…COLQUITT…NEWTON…CAMILLA…PELHAM… MOULTRIE…ADEL…SPARKS…NASHVILLE…DONALSONVILLE…
BAINBRIDGE…CAIRO…THOMASVILLE…QUITMAN…VALDOSTA…LAKELAND 614 PM EST FRI JAN 21 2011 /514 PM CST FRI JAN 21 2011/

A Hard Freeze Watch is Now in Effect From Late Saturday Night Through Sunday Morning for All of Southeast Alabama, Southwest And South Central Georgia, and The Florida Big Bend and
Panhandle…

the National Weather Service in tallahassee has issued a hard freeze watch, which is in effect from late saturday night
through sunday morning.

as the ridge of high pressure that will bring a widespread light freeze to the region tonight, slides eastward and settles in right over the tri-state area on saturday night and sunday
morning, conditions will become ideal for significant radiational cooling. this will result in winds becoming very light to near calm across all of the region before midnight saturday night, which will allow temperatures to fall quickly below freezing. low temperatures are anticipated to bottom out in the lower to middle 20S just before sunrise, with at least 2 to 4 hours of hard
freeze conditions expected across much of the region. temperatures may be slightly warmer near the immediate coast, including the usually warmer urban areas such as downtown tallahassee.
additionally, total durations of sub-freezing temperatures are likely to range from 6 to 10 hours, before temperatures moderate quickly during the day on sunday under plenty of sunshine.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a hard freeze watch means sub-freezing temperatures are possible. these conditions could kill crops and other sensitive vegetation.

&&

www.theweatherprediction.com/habyhints/64/

These waves in the clouds are also called Kelvin-HelmHoltz waves. They form when 2 layers of air at different densities move past each other at different speeds. 

This article below should infuriate TV meteorologists.

Global Warming supporters are not only pushing their rhetoric harder, but they are now trying to push “Re-Education” for TV meteorologists… The “re-educators” believe that they have enough “proof” and “historical data” on their side (Not!)… And that we are ignorant for not buying into their garble… Which is largely a political and money-driven argument…

This is really something.

The job opening listed below advertises for an NSF-funded  program at George Mason University, for the “education” of TV weathercasters, on how “unusual weather events” ARE connected to “climate change”. Apparently, their “weather is not climate” maxim has been thrown out the window in a desperate attempt to salvage sinking public opinion on the issue.

Read the article below and form your OWN opinion…

TV Weathercaster Re-Education Proposed by NSF and GMU

“This project will focus on establishing a national network of on-air broadcast meteorologists, climate scientists, university research programs, and key climate and weather science organizations, to engage, train, and empower local broadcast meteorologists to educate and inform the American public about climate.”

I suppose this relates to Dr. Kevin Trenberth’s statement about TV weathercasters in his recent speech preprint to be delivered at the upcoming AMS convention in Seattle.

 

Nevertheless, the natural variability provides valuable opportunities for ongoing “news” and education, as teachable moments, but many scientists have not been helpful, and many TV weathercasters are poorly informed and sometimes downright hostile (Wilson 2009).

From personal experience, I imagine lots of TV meteorologists will be even more hostile when their News Director gets a call from the “climate re-educators” asking why their on-air person didn’t “link the hailstorm yesterday to global warming”.

Get a load of this statement:

It will also adapt and test conflict resolution theory and practice to engage meteorologists who reject the scientific consensus and climate scientists in constructive dialogue.

The George Mason University Center for Climate Change Communication invites applications for a full-time Postdoctoral Research Fellow to support an NSF-funded planning grant titled Making the Global Local: Unusual Weather Events as Climate Change Education Opportunities. The goal of this project is to establish a national network of climate and weather science organizations, and university research and teaching programs, to engage, train, and empower local broadcast meteorologists to educate and inform the American public about climate change. The project will integrate informal learning, mass communication, and experiential learning theories to develop and test new pedagogical approaches to informal science education through frequent mass media exposure, linked to realworld experience (i.e., the local weather). It will also adapt and test conflict resolution theory and practice to engage meteorologists who reject the scientific consensus and climate scientists in constructive dialogue. Collaborating institutions include National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration, American Meteorological Society, National Weather Association, American Association of State Climatologists, American Geophysical Union, Climate Central, National Environmental Education Foundation, and Yale and Cornell universities.

Candidates must have a PhD in a relevant social or learning science discipline, and a track record of published journal articles and/or conference papers on relevant topics of inquiry including climate change communication, science communication and/or formal or informal science education. Experience in survey research, qualitative data collection, strategic (program) planning, professional development, and climate science is preferred. Additional skills required include competence in planning and multitasking, attention to detail, excellent organizational skills, ability to communicate verbally and in writing, and the ability to adapt to the changing demands of a dynamic research environment.

Dense Fog is expected to be in many areas early Thursday – especially near ponds, streams, lakes and bridges.

If you’ll be traveling before 8am, consider leaving a few minutes early and expect slower traffic from time-to-time.

Sunshine will break through by midday, with highs in the mid 60s.



Blue Skies Are Back At 2 pm, originally uploaded by wtvywxteam.

Sunny and 55 degrees in downtown Dothan.

Sent from my Droid.



Cloudy and Breezy at 8:30 am, originally uploaded by wtvywxteam.

Sent from my Droid.

Full Moon breaking through the rain clouds at 1 am Wednesday morning.

As of 10 pm, here are some rainfall amounts around the area:

  • Dothan    .34″
  • Ozark    .38″
  • Crestview    .71″
  • Marianna    .18″
  • Panama City Beach   Trace
  • Andalusia    .80″
  • Albany    .14″

Most rainfall amounts this evening will range from .10″ to .25″… with some higher totals in a few spots.

A Dense Fog Advisory covers the coastal areas this evening and will continue through early Wednesday.

After the rain showers move through the area this evening – and the fog burns off early Wednesday – the sunshine will return by midday… with afternoon highs in the low 60s.



Clouds Thinning at 3:45, originally uploaded by wtvywxteam.

Sent from my Droid.

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