Hurricane Rina is currently sitting and stewing in the Western Caribbean… where the water temperature – not only at the surface but several meters down – is very warm. There is also low wind shear and both of these facets have allowed the system to rapidly intensify. While the slow moving system is currently moving Northwest, it will eventually reach some drier air to it’s North that will weaken it significantly.

Also, the cold front progged to pass through our region Thursday night will move into the Central Gulf around the time Rina enters the Gulf. This will keep it well away from the Gulf Coast and likely take it over Cuba… and possibly Key West. We’ll watch it’s progress over the next 5-7 days.

000
WTNT33 KNHC 251432
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE RINA ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182011
1100 AM EDT TUE OCT 25 2011

…RINA CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN…HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR PART
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA…

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…17.4N 83.9W
ABOUT 300 MI…480 KM ESE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
ABOUT 305 MI…490 KM SE OF TULUM MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…105 MPH…165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 3 MPH…6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…971 MB…28.67 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WATCH TO A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM
NORTH OF PUNTA GRUESA TO CANCUN.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
FROM CHETUMAL TO PUNTA GRUESA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA GRUESA
TO CANCUN

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO PUNTA
GRUESA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36
HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS…CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.