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WWUS72 KTAE 301914
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
214 PM EST WED NOV 30 2011

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-GAZ120>131-142>148- 155>161-011400-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FZ.A.0003.111201T0800Z-111201T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FZ.W.0003.111201T0800Z-111201T1400Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON- COASTAL BAY-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH- TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT- COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…DOTHAN…KINSEY…
COWARTS…WEBB…COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS… HUDSON…BONIFAY…CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…
MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE…MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…
BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…WEWAHITCHKA…QUINCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE… TALLAHASSEE…SPRING HILL…MONTICELLO…MADISON…GREENVILLE… SWEETWATER…CRAWFORDVILLE…PERRY…MIDWAY…MAYO…CROSS CITY… FREEPORT…SANTA ROSA BEACH…PANAMA CITY…PARKER…GEORGETOWN… FORT GAINES…CUTHBERT…SHELLMAN…ARLINGTON…MORGAN…EDISON… LEARY…DAWSON…ALBANY…LEESBURG…SMITHVILLE…SYLVESTER… ASHBURN…TIFTON…FITZGERALD…OCILLA…DOUGLASVILLE…BLAKELY… COLQUITT…NEWTON…CAMILLA…PELHAM…MOULTRIE…ADEL…SPARKS… NASHVILLE…DONALSONVILLE…BAINBRIDGE…CAIRO…THOMASVILLE… QUITMAN…VALDOSTA…LAKELAND
214 PM EST WED NOV 30 2011 /114 PM CST WED NOV 30 2011/

Freeze Warning in Effect From 3 AM EST /2 AM Cst/ to 9 AM EST /8 AM Cst/ Thursday…

the National Weather Service in tallahassee has issued a freeze warning, which is in effect from 3 AM EST /2 AM cst/ to 9 AM EST /8 AM cst/ thursday. this upgrades the freeze watch that was previously in effect.

* temperature(28 to) 32 away from urbanized areas.

* duration(3 to) 5 hours. longest in normally colder inland
locations.

* impacts, potential damage to sensitive agricultural products and other sensitive vegetation.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a freeze warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or highly likely. these conditions will kill crops and other
sensitive vegetation.

&&

WWUS72 KTAE 300842
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
342 AM EST WED NOV 30 2011

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134- GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-302130-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FZ.A.0003.111201T0800Z-111201T1400Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON- COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON- COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN- EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…DOTHAN…KINSEY…
COWARTS…WEBB…COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS… HUDSON…BONIFAY…CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…
MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE…MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…
BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…WEWAHITCHKA…QUINCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE… TALLAHASSEE…SPRING HILL…MONTICELLO…MADISON…GREENVILLE… SWEETWATER…CRAWFORDVILLE…PERRY…MIDWAY…MAYO…CROSS CITY… FREEPORT…SANTA ROSA BEACH…PANAMA CITY…PARKER…
PORT SAINT JOE…APALACHICOLA…CARRABELLE…SOPCHOPPY…
SAINT MARKS…KEATON BEACH…STEINHATCHEE…SUWANNEE…
GEORGETOWN…FORT GAINES…CUTHBERT…SHELLMAN…ARLINGTON… MORGAN…EDISON…LEARY…DAWSON…ALBANY…LEESBURG…
SMITHVILLE…SYLVESTER…ASHBURN…TIFTON…FITZGERALD…OCILLA… DOUGLASVILLE…BLAKELY…COLQUITT…NEWTON…CAMILLA…PELHAM… MOULTRIE…ADEL…SPARKS…NASHVILLE…DONALSONVILLE…
BAINBRIDGE…CAIRO…THOMASVILLE…QUITMAN…VALDOSTA…LAKELAND 342 AM EST WED NOV 30 2011 /242 AM CST WED NOV 30 2011/

Freeze Watch in Effect From Late Tonight Through Thursday
Morning…

the National Weather Service in tallahassee has issued a freeze watch, which is in effect from late tonight through thursday morning.

* temperature(28 to) 32 away from the immediate coast and
urbanized locations.

* duration, up to 4 hours, especially for normally colder inland locations.

* impacts, potential damage to sensitive agricultural products.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a freeze watch means sub-freezing temperatures are possible. these conditions could kill crops and other sensitive vegetation.

&&

Aaron Clark- Geneva 1.75″

Jamie Davis- Blakely, GA .5″

Don Green-Anniston 4″

David Breath- N.Side Dothan .8″

Nanci Velasquez- Graceville, Fl 2.5″

Stacy Strickland- Pansey .5″

Susan Shaw- Dalevile 1″

Logan Grant- Rehobeth 1.9″

Dana Howell- Dothan West Side 1.1″

Allen Woodham- Geneva .9″

Greg Majors- Black 1″

Joshua Williams- Rehobeth 2″

Joseph Vrabel- Panama City 1.25

Kevin Moore- Enterprise .5″

Wayne Turner- Madrid 2.9″

David Mims- Ardilla 2.6″

 

Saturday will begin Partly Cloudy, in the low 50′s… Auburn’s high is 64… and that’s what it will be around Kickoff at 2:30 pm… Cloudy skies will take over… and there is a very slight chance for a late game shower.  South winds will be light at 5-10 mph.

Dothan’s afternoon high reached 82 degrees Tuesday, breaking the old record of 80 from 1973.

The unseasonably warm, moist air set the stage for a few late afternoon thunderstorms and will help showers and isolated storms stay in our area through Wednesday morning.

Wednesday’s high will be around 76.

Tornado Watch until 5pm just to the NW of our viewing area.

Although we are not in the Watch area right now, we are under a Slight Threat for severe weather this evening and overnight into early Wednesday.

The main concern is for gusty, straight-line winds from isolated thunderstorms with heavy downpours.

Overnight rain will linger into early Wednesday (40%), with clearing skies by mid-afternoon.

 

If it seemed a little “too warm” to you on Monday, it was.

The average high for this time in November in Dothan is 68 degrees. 

But Dothan topped out at 82 degrees which tied the record set in 1991.

Tuesday is going to be another unseasonably warm day with an afternoon high near 80 degrees (which would tie the record from 1973).

 

 

                  

The record high for Monday is 82 degrees set back in 1991…..It’s 79 degrees at noon today…could we tie…or even break the record??


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
300 PM EST Fri Nov 18 2011

.SYNOPSIS AND NEAR TERM (Rest of Today)...Satellite trends indicate
LOW level CLOUD cover slowly advancing into the area from the
Atlantic Coast. Another cloud deck exists offshore over the northern
Gulf and is advancing north along the Florida panhandle coast. These
two cloud features are LIKELY to combine AS the low level FLOW
switches to a more southerly direction overnight. Therefore expect
that most areas in the southern portion of the CWA will be partly
CLOUDY by late evening, with some being mostly cloudy. Otherwise,
look for WIND speed to subside into the evening hours as we
transition into a cool NIGHT in the MID 40s.

&&

.SHORT TERM (Tonight through Sunday Night)...The RIDGE of HIGH
PRESSURE, which brought the brief shot of cool AIR to the region
last night with a FEW of the colder inland locations dropping into
the mid to upper 30s, is centered near the NC/VA border as a 1034 MB
system as of early this afternoon. This ridge, which is currently
responsible for the rather tight pressure GRADIENT over our coastal
waters, is PROGGED very well by the global models to gradually
weaken as it settles slowly southward to a position nearly right
over our CWA by later on Sunday or Monday. Combine this weakening
and moderating SFC Ridge with a building Upper Level Ridge from the
Gulf of Mexico, and the STAGE should be SET for a steady warming
trend across the region over the weekend. High TEMPS should recover
into the mid 70s over many areas on Saturday, with upper 70s and
even some lower 80s likely by Sunday Afternoon. Although it may not
be a mostly SUNNY weekend for all areas over the entire weekend,
with low level cloudiness increasing both over the FL peninsula and
northern Gulf Waters today, we are still confident in a FAIR weather
FCST. Although we will currently plan on leaving any sensible WX (in
the for of showers) over the coastal waters, FWIW, the NAM derived
MET POPS have come in between 20 and 40 percent for Saturday and
some of the HI-Res WRF Members do show some precip over western
portions of the CWA tomorrow, believe these are the outlier
solutions for this package.


.LONG TERM (Monday through next Friday)...
The period will start out warm and dry with lows in the 50s and
highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s through Tuesday. RAIN chances
return to the northwest zones beginning Tuesday afternoon as a
southern stream IMPULSE approaches from the west. There are the
usual model differences evident that are typical at these time
ranges. However, there is a general consensus that a cold FRONT will
push across the area in the Tuesday night to Wednesday time frame.
While not in complete agreement, the 00Z versions of the GFS and
Euro have come into a little better agreement on this. For this
cycle, we did increment PoPs upward just a bit with highest PoPs on
Wednesday morning. Temps will drop off behind the front, but only
back to seasonal levels. The next frontal system looks to hold off
until next weekend.

&&

.MARINE...With the Sfc Ridge to the Northeast only gradually
weakening as it settles slowly to the south, Small Craft ADVISORY
Conditions out of the east may linger over the coastal waters into
Saturday morning over the eastern legs and Saturday Afternoon to the
west. Thereafter, more moderate winds and SEAS are expected to
return to the marine area, but there will be the possibility for
NOCTURNAL surges which may bring brief periods of cautionary
conditions to parts of the waters on Saturday Night.

&&

.AVIATION...An influx of low level MOISTURE from the east is
spreading a low cloud CEILING into the Florida panhandle this
afternoon. This is likely to generate VFR ceilings over eastern
terminals between 3,000 ad 3,500 FT AGL" onClick="return popup(this, 'notes')">AGL this afternoon. There also
exists an extensive area of cloud cover over the northern Gulf of
Mexico that will spread northward tonight as the low level wind flow
switches to a more southerly wind direction. Whether this cloud
cover decreases to MVFR is the primary forecast problem for this TAF
issuance. Based on CURRENT trends and NARRE data, it appears the
deck is most likely to stay VFR. Will go with this line of thinking
for all but KECP where proximity to the ocean may increase chances
of MVFR ceilings. Also, low level wind SHEAR issues are not
anticipated to be a problem tomorrow morning as they were today.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Low-level moisture will be in the increase beginning
tonight. This combined with low DISPERSION and low wind speeds will
act to keep fire weather concerns to a minimum. The next CHANCE for
increased fire weather concerns will be the middle of next week when
a cold front approached the area.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE
410 PM EST THU NOV 17 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
UPPER AIR CHARTS HAVE BASE OF MEDIUM AMPLIFIED H25 TROUGH OVER THE
EXTREME SOUTHEAST CONUS...WITH 140 KNOTS JET AHEAD OF THE TROUGH
EXTENDING NORTHEAST ALONG THE EAST COAST. FORECAST AREA NOW RESIDES
UNDER LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE AS TROUGH ADVANCES EAST...WITH LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING THE LAST OF THE POST-FRONTAL COLD AIR CUMULUS EXITING THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE FORECAST AREA.

AT THE SURFACE...
STRONG COLD FRONT IS POSITIONED WELL SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA...AND MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA. LARGE 1030MB HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT IS NOW CENTERED ACROSS ARKANSAS. THE
RESULTING COLD AIR ADVECTION CONTINUES ACROSS THE REGION...WITH
LATEST METAR OBSERVATIONS REPORTING MODERATE NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS
WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 20 TO 25 MPH...AND DEWPOINTS RANGING FROM 28
TO 34 DEGREES ENTERING INTO THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...
TONIGHT...PATTERN REMAINS PROGRESSIVE AS CENTER OF LARGE SURFACE
HIGH MOVES QUICKLY EASTWARD OVERNIGHT...REACHING THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES BY DAYBREAK. BASE OF UPPER TROUGH MOVES OFF THE EAST COAST
AND OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...FOLLOWED BY ZONAL FLOW SETTING UP
OVER THE FORECAST AREA BY LATE TONIGHT. CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT WILL
ALLOW FOR MODERATE RADIATIONAL COOLING. FORECAST 2 METER WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST...BUT ONLY DROP OFF TO BETWEEN 5 AND 8 MPH
INLAND AREA BY LATE TONIGHT. COASTAL ZONES SHOULD SEE WINDS DROP OFF
TO BETWEEN 9 AND 14 MPH. THIS MIXING WILL KEEP OVERNIGHT LOWS FROM
REACHING FREEZING...OR ANY FROST FROM DEVELOPING. MUCH COLDER
TEMPERATURES IN STORE FOR TONIGHT...WITH LOWS RANGING FROM 34
DEGREES NORTHWEST ZONES TO THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S SOUTHEAST
ZONES AND THE COASTAL SECTIONS.

FRIDAY/FRIDAY NIGHT...
WEAK BROAD UPPER RIDGING WILL BUILD OVER THE SOUTHEAST CONUS ON
FRIDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING UPPER TROUGH. CENTER OF SURFACE
HIGH MOVES EAST OFF THE EAST COAST AND OVER THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC...LEAVING A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES SOUTHWEST ACROSS GEORGIA AND WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. LOW
LEVEL MIXING WILL RESUME AFTER SUNRISE...ALLOWING NORTHEAST WINDS
FRIDAY MORNING TO INCREASE TO AROUND 15 MPH. THE WINDS WILL THEN
SHIFT TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR EAST THROUGHOUT THE DAY. A FEW FAIR
WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS SHOULD DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON...BUT OVERALL
EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
BE ABOUT 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL RANGING FROM 61 TO 66 DEGREES.
LOWS TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 3 TO 6 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL RANGING
FROM THE LOWER 40S NORTHERN ZONES TO THE UPPER 40S AT THE BEACHES.

SATURDAY...
WEAK BROAD UPPER RIDGING OVER THE SOUTHEAST CONUS AND THE SURFACE
RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE MID ATLANTIC STATES SOUTHWEST ACROSS
GEORGIA AND WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WILL REMAIN INTACT. A LIGHT
EAST WIND WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA...WITH CLOUDS INCREASING FROM
THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE DAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND
JUST ABOVE NORMAL...RANGING FROM 70 TO 76 DEGREES.

bulletin – eas activation requested
tornado warning
National Weather Service tallahassee fl
234 PM CST wed nov 16 2011

the National Weather Service in tallahassee has issued a

* tornado warning for,
northerb jackson county in the panhandle of florida,
southeastern henry county in southeast alabama,
houston county in southeast alabama,
southwestern early county in southwest georgia,
southwestern miller county in southwest georgia,
northwestern seminole county in southwest georgia…

* until 300 PM cst/400 PM est/

* at 231 PM CST, a developing tornado has been detected by the National Weather Service 6 miles southwest of cottonwood, or near ellaville, moving northeast at 45 mph.

* other locations in the warning include but are not limited to cowarts, ashford, webb and columbia

precautionary/preparedness actions…

take cover now! leave mobile homes and vehicles for safer structures. move to a hallway or closet on the lowest floor away from windows and outside walls.

&&

lat, lon 3141 8518 3109 8481 3091 8538 3104 8549
time, mot, loc 2034Z 237Deg 38Kt 3102 8536

WWUS62 KTAE 161836
WCNTAE

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCHES 889/890
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
136 PM EST WED NOV 16 2011

The National Weather Service Has Issued Tornado Watch 890 Until 8 PM CST This Evening Which Replaces a Portion of Tornado Watch 889. The New Watch is Valid for The Following Areas

in alabama the new watch includes 5 counties

in southeast alabama

coffee dale geneva henry houston

this includes the cities of, abbeville, ashford, cottonwood, cowarts, daleville, dothan, enterprise, fort rucker,
geneva, hartford, headland, kinsey, malvern, ozark,
rehobeth, samson, slocomb, taylor and webb.

WWUS62 KTAE 161547
WCNTAE

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 889
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1047 AM EST WED NOV 16 2011

The National Weather Service Has Issued Tornado Watch 889 in Effect Until 6 PM CST This Evening for The Following Areas

in alabama this watch includes 5 counties

in southeast alabama

coffee dale geneva henry houston

this includes the cities of, abbeville, ashford, cottonwood, cowarts, daleville, dothan, enterprise, fort rucker,
geneva, hartford, headland, kinsey, malvern, ozark,
rehobeth, samson, slocomb, taylor and webb.

 

 

 

 

 

Tuesday evening into Wednesday will be the best chance for rain of any measurable substance for our entire viewing area we have had in several weeks.  While this is good news for us, there are some complications with this.

Rain will begin as early as 8 pm in some of our western counties…and continue through the evening and through the day Wednesday. Dothan is unfortunately between two areas that will have higher concentrations of rain, central Alabama and just south of Apalachicola.

In addition to the potential from .25″-1″ of rainfall, comes a slight risk for severe storms as pegged by the Storm Prediction Center.  The main threat for this lies within the squall line, which will not move through until Midday Wednesday. Tornadic threat remains low, but gusty winds and small hail are possible.

The beginning of the week will be marked with unseasonably warm highs, near 80 each day through Wednesday. This is around 9 degrees above average.

Wednesday will be warm & rainy, with colder air ushering in Thursday, and highs returning to upper 60′s to around 70 degrees.

WWUS72 KTAE 120318 AAA
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE…UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1018 PM EST FRI NOV 11 2011

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161- 121200-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FZ.W.0002.111112T0500Z-111112T1200Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY- RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN- EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…DOTHAN…KINSEY…
COWARTS…WEBB…COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS… HUDSON…BONIFAY…CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…
MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE…MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…
BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…WEWAHITCHKA…QUINCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE… TALLAHASSEE…SPRING HILL…MONTICELLO…MADISON…GREENVILLE… SWEETWATER…CRAWFORDVILLE…PERRY…MIDWAY…MAYO…CROSS CITY… GEORGETOWN…FORT GAINES…CUTHBERT…SHELLMAN…ARLINGTON… MORGAN…EDISON…LEARY…DAWSON…ALBANY…LEESBURG…
SMITHVILLE…SYLVESTER…ASHBURN…TIFTON…FITZGERALD…OCILLA… DOUGLASVILLE…BLAKELY…COLQUITT…NEWTON…CAMILLA…PELHAM… MOULTRIE…ADEL…SPARKS…NASHVILLE…DONALSONVILLE…
BAINBRIDGE…CAIRO…THOMASVILLE…QUITMAN…VALDOSTA…LAKELAND 1018 PM EST FRI NOV 11 2011 /918 PM CST FRI NOV 11 2011/

A Freeze Warning Remains in Effect Until 7 AM EST /6 AM Cst/ Saturday…

* temperature, minimum values 26 to 31 degrees, except above freezing in the urban heat islands such as downtown tallahassee and near the immediate coast.

* duration(5 to) 7 hours.

* impacts, potential damage to sensitive agricultural products.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a freeze warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or highly likely. these conditions can kill crops and other sensitive vegetation.

&&

WWUS72 KTAE 111054
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
554 AM EST FRI NOV 11 2011

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161- 121200-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FZ.A.0002.111112T0800Z-111112T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FZ.W.0002.111112T0700Z-111112T1200Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY- RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN- EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…DOTHAN…KINSEY…
COWARTS…WEBB…COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS… HUDSON…BONIFAY…CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…
MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE…MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…
BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…WEWAHITCHKA…QUINCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE… TALLAHASSEE…SPRING HILL…MONTICELLO…MADISON…GREENVILLE… SWEETWATER…CRAWFORDVILLE…PERRY…MIDWAY…MAYO…CROSS CITY… GEORGETOWN…FORT GAINES…CUTHBERT…SHELLMAN…ARLINGTON… MORGAN…EDISON…LEARY…DAWSON…ALBANY…LEESBURG…
SMITHVILLE…SYLVESTER…ASHBURN…TIFTON…FITZGERALD…OCILLA… DOUGLASVILLE…BLAKELY…COLQUITT…NEWTON…CAMILLA…PELHAM… MOULTRIE…ADEL…SPARKS…NASHVILLE…DONALSONVILLE…
BAINBRIDGE…CAIRO…THOMASVILLE…QUITMAN…VALDOSTA…LAKELAND 554 AM EST FRI NOV 11 2011 /454 AM CST FRI NOV 11 2011/

A Freeze Warning is Now in Effect From 2 AM EST /1 AM Cst/ to 7 AM EST /6 AM Cst/ Saturday…

the National Weather Service in tallahassee has issued a freeze warning, which is in effect from 2 AM EST /1 AM cst/ to 7 AM EST /6 AM cst/ saturday.

* temperature, minimum values 27 to 31, except a few degrees warmer in the urban heat islands such as downtown tallahassee.

* duration(3 to) 5 hours.

* impacts, potential damage to sensitive agricultural products.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a freeze warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or highly likely. these conditions can kill crops and other sensitive vegetation.

&&

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
858 PM EST Thu Nov 10 2011

.Discussion...
Overall this evening the primary forecast focus is on the cold
temperatures predicted for tonight. The PRESSURE GRADIENT is
expected to remain tight overnight due to the RIDGE still well to
the west of the region. This will keep surface winds in the 5 to 10
mph RANGE, which will be more than sufficient to prevent
temperatures from crashing too quickly. However, the magnitude of
the cold advection is such that temperatures should still be able to
drop into the mid to upper 30s across much of the area. Although it
will be quite chilly, FROST is not expected (thus no frost ADVISORY
overnight) due to both expected surface winds and dry airmass in
place.

Based on this, relatively little change has been applied to the
inherited forecast package. Will make a FEW minor tweaks to the MIN
TEMPERATURE forecast based on the latest trends. Did go ahead and
issue the FREEZE WATCH for Friday NIGHT due to increasing confidence
that our first WIDESPREAD freeze will occur by Saturday morning AS
cold high pressure settles directly overhead.

WWUS72 KTAE 102139
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
439 PM EST THU NOV 10 2011

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134- GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-111200-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FZ.A.0002.111112T0800Z-111112T1400Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON- COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON- COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN- EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…DOTHAN…KINSEY…
COWARTS…WEBB…COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…DE FUNIAK SPRINGS… HUDSON…BONIFAY…CRYSTAL LAKE…CHIPLEY…FIVE POINTS…
MARIANNA…GRACEVILLE…MALONE…SNEADS…YOUNGSTOWN…
BLOUNTSTOWN…WHITE CITY…WEWAHITCHKA…QUINCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE… TALLAHASSEE…SPRING HILL…MONTICELLO…MADISON…GREENVILLE… SWEETWATER…CRAWFORDVILLE…PERRY…MIDWAY…MAYO…CROSS CITY… FREEPORT…SANTA ROSA BEACH…PANAMA CITY…PARKER…
PORT SAINT JOE…APALACHICOLA…CARRABELLE…SOPCHOPPY…
SAINT MARKS…KEATON BEACH…STEINHATCHEE…SUWANNEE…
GEORGETOWN…FORT GAINES…CUTHBERT…SHELLMAN…ARLINGTON… MORGAN…EDISON…LEARY…DAWSON…ALBANY…LEESBURG…
SMITHVILLE…SYLVESTER…ASHBURN…TIFTON…FITZGERALD…OCILLA… DOUGLASVILLE…BLAKELY…COLQUITT…NEWTON…CAMILLA…PELHAM… MOULTRIE…ADEL…SPARKS…NASHVILLE…DONALSONVILLE…
BAINBRIDGE…CAIRO…THOMASVILLE…QUITMAN…VALDOSTA…LAKELAND 439 PM EST THU NOV 10 2011 /339 PM CST THU NOV 10 2011/

Freeze Watch in Effect From Late Friday Night Through Saturday Morning…

the National Weather Service in tallahassee has issued a freeze watch, which is in effect from late friday night through
saturday morning.

* temperature, minimum values 27 to 31 inland and 30 to 34 in coastal areas.

* duration, up to 6 hours inland areas and up to 3 hours for coastal areas.

* impacts, potential damage to sensitive agricultural products.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a freeze watch means sub-freezing temperatures are possible. these conditions could kill crops and other sensitive vegetation.

&&

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
900 PM EST Wed Nov 9 2011

...Weak cold FRONT to move across overnight tonight...

...Much cooler and drier weather to end the week with a FREEZE
possible Friday NIGHT into early Saturday...
In WAKE of front...all the latest models forecast very strong HIGH
(currently 1034mb) over Plains to move SEWD and somewhat weaken with
rapid ridging building ESE along the Northeast Gulf Coast. This will
yield tightening gradients. Expect clearing skies but BREEZY
conditions and meager DEW point depressions will prevent a rapid
TEMP FALL and development of FROST Thursday night. Significantly
colder AIR on the wings of ideal radiational cooling is expected to
arrive with lows dropping into the 30s on Friday morning away from
the coast. Another cold morning is expected on Saturday morning with
temperatures dipping to near the freezing mark across some areas
away from the coast. This will LIKELY be our first freeze of the
season for portions of local area. As the surface high moves east of
our forecast area Saturday, highs will rebound back to average in
the lower 70s.

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
705 PM EST MON NOV 08 2011 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL 
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF 
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE 
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE 
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL 
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 2335 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...
TROPICAL STORM SEAN IS CENTERED NEAR 27.8N 69.8W...OR ABOUT 430 
MI...695 KM SW OF BERMUDA. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL 
PRESSURE IS 999 MB. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KTS 
WITH GUSTS TO 55 KTS. SEAN IS CURRENTLY STATIONARY. FOR MORE 
INFORMATION SEE THE FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER THE AWIPS/WMO 
HEADERS MIATCMAT4/WTNT24 KNHC...AND THE PUBLIC ADVISORY LISTED 
UNDER THE AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT4/WTNT34 KNHC. SEAN IS 
DOMINATING THE WRN ATLC PRODUCING A LARGE CYCLONIC WIND FIELD. 
SCATTERED HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 25N-32N 
BETWEEN 65W-73W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH REMAINS INLAND ACROSS WEST AFRICA. THE ITCZ 
EXTENDS ALONG 8N20W 7N30W 5N40W TO 7N52W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO 
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 140 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 
THE AXIS. 

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A PRE-FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS ENTERING THE NW GULF WATERS...OFF THE 
COAST OF TEXAS. DOPPLER RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES THE LINE 
COMPOSED OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SHOWERS ALONG GALVESTON BAY TO 
NEAR 26N95W. THE SEVERE WEATHER IS FOCUSED INLAND ACROSS ERN 
TEXAS. THE COLD FRONT BEHIND THE PRE FRONTAL CONVECTION IS STILL 
MOVING ACROSS ESE TEXAS. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO ENTER THE NW 
GULF TONIGHT ALONG WITH GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS UP TO 20 KT BEHIND 
IT. OTHERWISE...MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER WITH A FEW ISOLATED WEAK 
SHOWERS IS CURRENTLY OBSERVED ACROSS THE AREA. SSE SURFACE FLOW 
10-20 KT IF OBSERVED IN THE WRN GULF W OF 90W. THIS FLOW WILL 
CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN RESPONSE OF THE COMING FRONT.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
DRY AIR ALOFT AND STRONG SUBSIDENCE COVERS A GREAT PART OF THE 
CARIBBEAN SEA THIS EVENING...SUPPRESSING DEEP CONVECTION ACROSS 
MOST OF THE BASIN. AT LOWER LEVELS TPW PRODUCT DISPLAYS MODERATE 
TO HIGH MOISTURE VALUES PRESENT OVER THE SW...CENTRAL...AND ERN 
BASIN. CONSEQUENTLY...LAST VISIBLE PICTURES OF THE DAY REVEALED 
SCATTERED WEAK SHOWERS OVER THE NW AND CENTRAL BASINS. A SMALL 
CLUSTER OF SHOWERS ARE OVER THE ERN BASIN...IN THE VICINITY OF A 
SURFACE TROUGH ANALYZED FROM 17N63W TO 12N65W. THIS TROUGH IS 
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE WESTWARD WITH INCREASING 
CONVECTION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO IN THE SW CARIBBEAN S OF 12N W OF 73W... 
ASSOCIATED TO THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDING ACROSS COSTA RICA TO 
NRN COLOMBIA. SHORT RANGE MODEL DATA SUGGEST THIS AREA OF 
CONVECTION WILL LINGER OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
TROPICAL STORM SEAN CONTINUES TO IMPACT THE WRN ATLC WITH 
SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION AROUND THE CENTER AND A GUSTY 
CYCLONIC WIND FIELD W OF 62W. FOR MORE INFORMATION SEE SPECIAL 
FEATURE ABOVE. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW 
ALOFT SURROUNDING T.S. SEAN...GENERATING SEVERAL SHORTWAVES 
SUPPORTING A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM N OF PUERTO RICO NEAR 
19N66W TO 24N63W. MOST OF THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED TO THIS 
SYSTEM IS WELL TO THE EAST WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS 
N OF 18N BETWEEN 53W-63W. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS IN THE ENE 
ATLC IS SUPPORTING A COLD FRONT THAT ENTERS THE DISCUSSION AREA 
NEAR 32N20W TO 27N30W BECOMING STATIONARY FROM THIS POINT ALONG 
25N40W 27N50W TO 30N55W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED 
THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE FRONTAL 
SYSTEM. 

Many people gripe about Daylight Saving time ending because it means an earlier sunset (technically the sun still sets at the same time, we just change the clocks), which makes people feel tired earlier, or that their day is ending quicker. It is not as noticible that sunrise is earlier, as it is that sun sets earlier, because most people stay awake well past sunset.

Historically, this was not always the case! Turning the clocks back one hour developed back in the Roman empire, but modern Daylight Saving Time was developed by New Zealand’s George Vernon Hudson back in 1895. He was a golfer, and worked part time jobs that led him to value his hours of sunshine. He wrote a paper to the Wellington Philosophical Society proposing changing to add 2 hours of daylight to the summer months.

It was also rumored that extra hours were added to summer/early fall months to give farmers more time in the fields, since in the 1800′s and early 1900′s many people went to bed around sunset and work up at sunrise to work. Benjamin Franklin famously once said “Early to bed, early to rise, makes a man healthy, wealthy and wise.”

While in modern day some people dislike the switch to an earlier sunset because our lifestyles have shifted to productivity later in the day, people also do appreciate an extra hour of sleep time on a weekend.

I know a few people who appreciate the early sunset….and their alarms go off at 2:30 am to bring you the morning news!



Clouds Increasing, originally uploaded by wtvywxteam.

Rain on the way tonight!

Sent from my Droid.

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