AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 858 PM EST Thu Nov 10 2011 .Discussion... Overall this evening the primary forecast focus is on the cold temperatures predicted for tonight. The PRESSURE GRADIENT is expected to remain tight overnight due to the RIDGE still well to the west of the region. This will keep surface winds in the 5 to 10 mph RANGE, which will be more than sufficient to prevent temperatures from crashing too quickly. However, the magnitude of the cold advection is such that temperatures should still be able to drop into the mid to upper 30s across much of the area. Although it will be quite chilly, FROST is not expected (thus no frost ADVISORY overnight) due to both expected surface winds and dry airmass in place. Based on this, relatively little change has been applied to the inherited forecast package. Will make a FEW minor tweaks to the MIN TEMPERATURE forecast based on the latest trends. Did go ahead and issue the FREEZE WATCH for Friday NIGHT due to increasing confidence that our first WIDESPREAD freeze will occur by Saturday morning AS cold high pressure settles directly overhead.