AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
911 PM EST Thu Jan 12 2012

NEAR TERM (TONIGHT)...
Cold ADVECTION will drop TEMPS steadily through the NIGHT and the
freezing line should stretch from Ocilla GA southwest to TLH and
west to ECP by 12Z. Total FREEZE durations across our Southeast AL
zones MAX out at about 5 hours over Coffee County. Winds will also
stay up all night, although we will lose the gusts. Wind chill
readings will be down into the 20s northwest of a line from VLD to
TLH to PAM. Inland portions of the FL Panhandle, Southeast AL and
adjacent portions of Southwest GA will see minimum wind chill
readings in the lower 20s around SUNRISE, just shy of advisory
criteria.

&&

.MARINE (FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)...
Small craft advisory conditions have returned to the marine area
this evening in the WAKE of a cold front. Elevated winds and SEAS
will persist into Friday morning before high pressure begins to move
back over the water resulting in diminishing winds and seas.
Generally light winds and low seas are expected throughout the
weekend AS high pressure hovers just northwest of the marine area.

&&

.AVIATION (THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY)...
Winds have shifted to the west and northwest at all TAF sites except
VLD where the front was just about to push through at 01z. Wind
speeds will continue to be in the 10 to 15 KT RANGE and gusty until
06z to 09z before diminishing to around or under 10kts for the
remainder of the forecast period. Aside from a SCATTERING of low
level clouds, expect only CIRRUS to stream over the region tonight
and Friday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A very dry airmass will settle in across the region
through the weekend, with RH values dropping into the lower 20s
Friday and Saturday afternoons. Durations of critical RH will be
right around 3 to 4 hours across SE AL/SW GA for both days. Will
leave the Fire WX WATCH for Friday afternoon unchanged and add a
Watch for Saturday afternoon. Dispersions across Florida should
remain below 75, with no headlines needed.