The biggest threat for severe storms is just to the north of Ozark today. However, we cannot completely count out the potential for damaging winds and hail as a fast-moving cold front moves through our area later.

Be aware of quickly changing weather close to you, especially after midday.

Here’s the ;atest from the National Weather Service…

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0151
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0556 AM CST FRI FEB 24 2012
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/ERN AL...CENTRAL/NRN GA...AND UPSTATE SC
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 241156Z - 241330Z
   
   A TORNADO WATCH IS BEING CONSIDERED FOR ISSUANCE FROM PARTS OF
   CENTRAL AND ERN AL THROUGH CENTRAL/NRN GA INTO UPSTATE SC...AND
   POTENTIALLY INTO WRN NC.  PROBABILITY OF WW ISSUANCE BY 13-14Z IS
   60-70 PERCENT.
   
   IN ADDITION TO A CONTINUATION OF TSTM DEVELOPMENT ALONG A COLD FRONT
   ADVANCING THROUGH NRN AL...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY/LIGHTNING DATA
   SHOWED AN INCREASE IN TSTM ACTIVITY ACROSS CENTRAL AL/WRN GA SINCE
   1045Z.  COLD AIR ADVECTION ABOVE 850 MB HAS RESULTED IN A WEAKENING
   OF THE CAP THAT WAS EVIDENT ON THE 24/00Z BHM/ATL SOUNDINGS AND NOW
   ERODED PER 12Z BHM SOUNDING.  THUS...GIVEN A MOIST WARM SECTOR /PW
   VALUES RANGING FROM 1-1.5 INCH/ AND LAPSE RATES NEAR 7 C/KM...THE
   MUCAPE IS ALREADY NEAR 1000 J/KG.  DESPITE A LACK OF STRONGER HEIGHT
   FALLS ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA TODAY...UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION
   WITHIN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF A 150+ KT UPPER JET IN THE TN/OH
   VALLEYS IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT FURTHER TSTM DEVELOPMENT ENEWD FROM
   THE ONGOING ACTIVITY.  THIS SCENARIO IS SUPPORTED BY MOST SHORT TERM
   MODELS WHICH SUGGEST A CONTINUED INCREASE IN TSTM DEVELOPMENT THIS
   MORNING FROM AL THROUGH CENTRAL/NRN GA TO UPSTATE SC/NC. 
   
   STRENGTHENING WSWLY DEEP LAYER WIND FIELDS /60-70 KT AT 700 MB AND
   80-100 KT AT 500 MB/ WILL MAINTAIN STRONG BULK SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED
   STORM DEVELOPMENT.  STRAIGHT HODOGRAPHS SUGGEST SPLITTING SUPERCELLS
   WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH LOW LEVEL SHEAR SUFFICIENT FOR TORNADO
   DEVELOPMENT...IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.
   
   ..PETERS.. 02/24/2012