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bulletin – eas activation requested
severe thunderstorm warning
National Weather Service tallahassee fl
716 PM CDT mon jul 30 2012

the National Weather Service in tallahassee has issued a

* severe thunderstorm warning for,
eastern holmes county in the panhandle of florida,
northwestern jackson county in the panhandle of florida,
eastern geneva county in southeast alabama,
central houston county in southeast alabama…

* until 800 PM CDT

* at 715 PM CDT, the National Weather Service has detected a severe thunderstorm capable of producing quarter size hail, and damaging winds in excess of 60 mph. this storm was located near hartford, and moving southeast at 25 mph.

* other locations in the warning include but are not limited to slocomb and bonifay

precautionary/preparedness actions…

this is a dangerous storm. if you are in its path, prepare
immediately. people outside should move inside a strong building but away from windows.

&&

lat, lon 3113 8583 3120 8558 3093 8536 3083 8551
3083 8559 3075 8562 3074 8563 3075 8573
3078 8574 3079 8575 3079 8578 3087 8583
time, mot, loc 0016Z 330Deg 20Kt 3109 8567

bulletin – eas activation requested
severe thunderstorm warning
National Weather Service tallahassee fl
637 PM CDT mon jul 30 2012

the National Weather Service in tallahassee has issued a

* severe thunderstorm warning for,
western dale county in southeast alabama,
eastern geneva county in southeast alabama,
western houston county in southeast alabama…

* until 730 PM CDT

* at 633 PM CDT, the National Weather Service has detected a severe thunderstorm capable of producing quarter size hail, and damaging winds in excess of 60 mph. this storm was located 7 miles west of ozark, or near hooper stage field, and moving southeast at 35 mph.

* other locations in the warning include but are not limited to fort rucker, level plains, daleville, newton, pinckard, hartford, slocomb and taylor

precautionary/preparedness actions…

this is a dangerous storm. if you are in its path, prepare
immediately. people outside should move inside a strong building but away from windows.

&&

lat, lon 3107 8539 3103 8583 3120 8581 3120 8579
3152 8579 3156 8562
time, mot, loc 2338Z 333Deg 29Kt 3141 8575

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1110 AM EDT Mon Jul 30 2012

ISOLATED strong to severe thunderstorms possible today…

.NEAR TERM…[THRU This AFTN]…This mornings SOUNDING came in
really unstable with 4069 CAPE and a PWAT of 2.1 inches.  Today`s
sounding is similar to last Wednesday sounding except that water
vapor loop shows PVA lobe sagging south into the Florida Panhandle
with sharp dry line boundary across Alabama extending northeast into
Central Georgia and into the Carolinas. With todays convective
TEMPERATURE of 83F compared to Wednesdays 92F, we expect a much
earlier start but similar strength storms.  South of this boundary,
CONVECTION is already firing up in the very unstable moist area.
Lines of east-west convection will be attempting to sag
southsoutheast under prevailing northwesterly FLOW, OUTFLOW
boundaries and seabreeze effects may stall or even backbuild
convection back to the north.  However, individual STORM motion will
be to the east today.  A major challenge to the forecast will be the
collision of the convection associated with the upper level features
sagging south, combined with outflow boundaries and seabreeze
impacts could create situations for copious accumulation of RAINFALL
and localized flooding. Beyond that there is the potential for
isolated severe storms over the Panhandle west of the Apalachicola
River possibly extending in extreme southern portions of Southeast
Alabama.

&&
.AVIATION…
Very moist conditions generated MVFR to IFR conditions this morning
at the Aerodromes, however all sites are now VFR.  Expecting a very
ACTIVE THUNDERSTORM day today.

&&
.MARINE…
No changes to forecast issued last NIGHT.  Thunderstorms are already
very active along the near coastal sections from the Panhandle to
the Florida Big Bend.

Congratulations to Caroline Crowley, from Ashford High, the new Miss Teen International!

She competed with over 80 other young ladies this past Saturday Night, in Chicago, Ill.

 

I could do this… But I’d have to practice…

- Connor

 



Clouds Thinning at Sundown, originally uploaded by wtvywxteam.

Fog expected early Sunday.

Sent from my HTC Rezound.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
235 PM EDT SAT Jul 28 2012

.NEAR TERM [Rest of Today and Tonight]…
The large scale longwave pattern remains highlighted by TROUGH over
WRN states, RIDGE over CNTRL states anchored by subtropical HIGH
over OK Panhandle, MEAN trough over ERN states with axis from Ern
Great Lakes SWWD into E/Cntrl gulf, and a ridge over extreme Wrn
Atlc with deeply stacked ridge axis SWWD across SRN FL and into Ern
Gulf of MEX. This places local area in weakness between INSTABILITY
of trough and SUBSIDENCE of ridge. Satellite water vapor shows plume
of deeper MOISTURE moving NEWD across area. This reflected in area
RAOBs and model soundings which show PWs above 2 inches and K
indices in the MID 30s. At the surface cold FRONT was noted from NE
states SWWD THRU TN Valley and WWD into Srn IL and MO. Assocd
pre-frontal trough was note from Ern VA swwd thru Carolinas, S/Cntrl
Ga and Srn AL. Remnant MCV interacting with Gulf coast sea breeze
over our waters pinned assocd CONVECTION near coast and adjacent
waters into the mid-AFTN. Surface ridge remains over SW FL.

During the rest of today, the Ern trough axis will continue to dig
slightly SEWD in response to potent SHORTWAVE that will eject EWD
across the LWR MS Valley thru this EVE eventually diving SEWD into
the Cntrl Gulf by SUNRISE Sun. This will help drag cold front SEWD
reaching NRN GA/AL before eventually stalling over Cntrl AL/GA on
Sun. Pre frontal trough remains quasi-STNRY. With the surface trough
LIKELY to remain near or just north of the NRN part of our area, and
the sea-breeze moving only slowly inland, showers and storms began
to develop away from the coast after 130 PM EDT and will continue
to lift further NWD into the late afternoon or early evening and
mainly SRN half of our forecast area, in the warm sector. South of
the trough, DEW points are high and PWs will remain at or above 2
inches so brief heavy RAIN, frequent CLOUD to ground LIGHTNING and
gusty winds a good bet. Cant discount brief wet MICROBURST with
damaging gusts.

Tonight, 20-30% mainly evening convection with focus over Big Bend.
This supported by all the HI RES guidance and local confidence tool.
A FEW storms may continue to be strong to ISOLD severe. Lows in LOW
to mid 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM [Sunday through Tuesday]…
Little change in the large scale pattern is expected on Sunday
with upper ridging encompassing a large area from the great BASIN
and Rockies down to the Gulf of Mex. Trough Ewd into extreme WRN
Atlc with axis down Ern seaboard. Trough will nudge ewd rest of
period with axis lying along or just east of coast keeping forecast
area in persistent light NLY FLOW. TAE Model soundings show PWs will
remain at or above 2 inches thru Wed.

At surface, with a trough or decaying front likely to be lingering
somewhere nearby over the Southeast, we expect to remain in warm
sector. The combination of trough to our N and seabreeze development
each aftn will maintain a confluent zones, especially south of I-10
and over Big Bend where CAM shows CAPE will exceed 2000 j/kg. This
will allow POPS to remain at or just above CLIMO with a fairly
WIDESPREAD convective coverage each day with increasing focus on
east half of CWA. POPs will be enhanced by any embedded shortwaves
that rotate down ern side of upper ridge which would favor late
developing strong to isold storms each day.

Will go with 40-60% NW-SE POP GRADIENT on Sunday, 20-40% Sunday
NIGHT, 20-50% nw-se POP gradient on Monday. NIL pops Monday night,
and 30-40% on Tuesday. MAX TEMPS generally in the low 90s in FL and
mid 90S N of the border. Apparent temps should remain below heat
ADVISORY levels.

&&

.LONG TERM [Tuesday Night through next Sunday]…
AS has been predicted for the past several model cycles, the
global models forecast a mean 500 MB trough to remain over the
Eastern CONUS through much of this upcoming work week, with
perhaps a bit of weakening of this feature by next weekend.
Meanwhile, a the western extent of the subtropical surface ridge
will remain to our south, providing our forecast area with south
to west winds for much of the period.

While we expect a fairly strong DIURNAL signal in terms of
THUNDERSTORM activity (i.e. mainly afternoon & evening thunderstorms
primarily due to the sea breeze CIRCULATION combined with peak
heating/destabilization); there remains a possibility that MESOSCALE
Convective Systems (MCS) and/or other 500 mb impulses could
translate south through our forecast area and generate thunderstorms
as well…even during the overnight areas. Our skill at forecasting
such features is generally 24 hours or less (if that), so trying to
forecast such details in the long term forecast is not possible. We
are just letting people know that this type of large scale weather
pattern can be favorable for southward-propagating MCSs. Why do we
keep repeating this in our discussions? Mainly because MCSs can
sometimes be associated with an increased risk of severe weather
(from damaging WIND gusts), and that our rain chances may linger
through the entire overnight periods (as opposed to dropping to less
than 20% after midnight). Our forecast continues to follow the HPC
guidance very closely, except that our TEMPERATURE forecast is
generally a few degrees warmer during the afternoon hours. Overall,
we expect near-climo 24-hour PoP & temperatures, except that our
overnight PoP is slightly above climo.

&&

.AVIATION…
[Through 18 UTC Sunday] SCATTERED TSRA will continue to develop
across the tri-state region this afternoon before diminishing later
this evening. Brief periods of heavy rain with MVFR/IFR vsbys will
be possible at all terminals mainly between 18z-22z. Patchy low cigs
and FOG will develop between 08z-13z with MVFR vsbys/cigs possible.

&&

.MARINE…
Rather benign conditions on tap for the marine forecast outside of
scattered thunderstorms. Winds look to be generally around 10
knots or less through the weekend (on average) with SEAS 1-2 feet.
Moderate risk of rip currents tomorrow along the Panhandle beaches
with onshore flow around 10-12 knots expected and surf building
close to 2 feet.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER…
Relative HUMIDITY levels are expected to remain above critical
thresholds for the next several days, so Red Flag conditions are
unlikely.

Weather for Jackson…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR… GADSDEN COUNTY IN FLORIDA… NORTHERN LIBERTY COUNTY IN FLORIDA… NORTHERN CALHOUN COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… SOUTHERN JACKSON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… * UNTIL 630 PM EDT/530 PM CDT/ * AT 439 PM CDT/539 PM EDT/…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 22 MILES NORTHWEST OF BLOUNTSTOWN TO 7 MILES NORTH OF QUINCY…OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM KYNESVILLE TO GRETNA…AND MOVING SOUTH AT 15 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BRANCHVILLE…ROSEDALE…HINSON…ROCK CREEK…HARDAWAY…UNION CITY…HAVANA.

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Weather for Calhoun…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR… GADSDEN COUNTY IN FLORIDA… NORTHERN LIBERTY COUNTY IN FLORIDA… NORTHERN CALHOUN COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… SOUTHERN JACKSON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… * UNTIL 630 PM EDT/530 PM CDT/ * AT 439 PM CDT/539 PM EDT/…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 22 MILES NORTHWEST OF BLOUNTSTOWN TO 7 MILES NORTH OF QUINCY…OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM KYNESVILLE TO GRETNA…AND MOVING SOUTH AT 15 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BRANCHVILLE…ROSEDALE…HINSON…ROCK CREEK…HARDAWAY…UNION CITY…HAVANA.

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Weather for Jackson…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR… GADSDEN COUNTY IN FLORIDA… NORTHERN LIBERTY COUNTY IN FLORIDA… NORTHERN CALHOUN COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… SOUTHERN JACKSON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… * UNTIL 630 PM EDT/530 PM CDT/ * AT 439 PM CDT/539 PM EDT/…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 22 MILES NORTHWEST OF BLOUNTSTOWN TO 7 MILES NORTH OF QUINCY…OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM KYNESVILLE TO GRETNA…AND MOVING SOUTH AT 15 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BRANCHVILLE…ROSEDALE…HINSON…ROCK CREEK…HARDAWAY…UNION CITY…HAVANA.

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Weather for Jackson…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR… JACKSON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… WESTERN SEMINOLE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA… * UNTIL 445 PM CDT/545 PM EDT/ * AT 403 PM CDT…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MARIANNA…OR NEAR MARIANNA MUNICIPAL A/P…AND MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO GREENWOOD…SIMSVILLE…ROCK CREEK…BLUE SPRING…STAR…BASCOM… TWO EGG…CYPRESS…DELLWOOD…LOVEDALE…BUENA VISTA… HORNSVILLE…GRAND RIDGE…DRAKES STILL…STEAM MILL…LAKE SEMINOLE…INWOOD…SNEADS…HAYNES…SEMINOLE STATE PARK… RIVERTURN…LITTLE HOPE…LELA…FAIRCHILD…DONALDSONVILLE A/P AND DESSER.

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Weather for Jackson…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR… JACKSON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… WESTERN SEMINOLE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA… * UNTIL 445 PM CDT/545 PM EDT/ * AT 403 PM CDT…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MARIANNA…OR NEAR MARIANNA MUNICIPAL A/P…AND MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO GREENWOOD…SIMSVILLE…ROCK CREEK…BLUE SPRING…STAR…BASCOM… TWO EGG…CYPRESS…DELLWOOD…LOVEDALE…BUENA VISTA… HORNSVILLE…GRAND RIDGE…DRAKES STILL…STEAM MILL…LAKE SEMINOLE…INWOOD…SNEADS…HAYNES…SEMINOLE STATE PARK… RIVERTURN…LITTLE HOPE…LELA…FAIRCHILD…DONALDSONVILLE A/P AND DESSER.

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Weather for Walton…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR… SOUTHWESTERN HOLMES COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… WALTON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… * UNTIL 630 PM CDT * AT 540 PM CDT…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 20 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DE FUNIAK SPRINGS…OR NEAR RED HEAD…AND MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BRUCE…PONCE DE LEON…PINEY GROVE…DE FUNIAK SPRING AIRPORT…CENTER RIDGE…ARGYLE AND ALPINE HEIGHTS.

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Weather for Holmes…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR… SOUTHWESTERN HOLMES COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… WALTON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… * UNTIL 630 PM CDT * AT 540 PM CDT…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 20 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DE FUNIAK SPRINGS…OR NEAR RED HEAD…AND MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BRUCE…PONCE DE LEON…PINEY GROVE…DE FUNIAK SPRING AIRPORT…CENTER RIDGE…ARGYLE AND ALPINE HEIGHTS.

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Weather for Henry…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR… CENTRAL HENRY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA… SOUTHERN CLAY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA… NORTHWESTERN EARLY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA… * UNTIL 715 PM EDT/615 PM CDT/ * AT 623 PM EDT…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTH OF FORT GAINES…OR NEAR HAYES…AND MOVING WEST AT 5 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ABBEVILLE

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Weather for Santa Rosa…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR… NORTHWESTERN OKALOOSA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA… NORTHEASTERN SANTA ROSA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA… SOUTHEASTERN ESCAMBIA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA… * UNTIL 630 PM CDT * AT 524 PM CDT…A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS OVER 60 MPH WAS LOCATED 17 MILES SOUTHEAST OF EAST BREWTON… OR 14 MILES SOUTH OF US 29 AND CR 43…AND MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE… PARKER SPRINGS… ROCK CREEK…

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Weather for Walton…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR… NORTHWESTERN BAY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… SOUTHEASTERN WALTON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… * UNTIL 545 PM CDT * AT 517 PM CDT…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR EBRO…AND MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO RED HEAD…PINE LOG AND BRUCE

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Weather for Bay…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR… NORTHWESTERN BAY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… SOUTHEASTERN WALTON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… * UNTIL 545 PM CDT * AT 517 PM CDT…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR EBRO…AND MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO RED HEAD…PINE LOG AND BRUCE

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Weather for Santa Rosa…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR… CENTRAL OKALOOSA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA… EAST CENTRAL SANTA ROSA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA… * UNTIL 545 PM CDT * AT 446 PM CDT…SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS OVER 60 MPH WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 15 MILES WEST OF CRESTVIEW TO 9 MILES WEST OF CRESTVIEW TO 8 MILES NORTH OF NICEVILLE…AND MOVING NORTH TO NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE… CRESTVIEW… BAKER… THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 37 AND 67.

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Weather for Okaloosa…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR… CENTRAL OKALOOSA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA… EAST CENTRAL SANTA ROSA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA… * UNTIL 545 PM CDT * AT 446 PM CDT…SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS OVER 60 MPH WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 15 MILES WEST OF CRESTVIEW TO 9 MILES WEST OF CRESTVIEW TO 8 MILES NORTH OF NICEVILLE…AND MOVING NORTH TO NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE… CRESTVIEW… BAKER… THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 37 AND 67.

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Weather for Gulf…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR… NORTH CENTRAL FRANKLIN COUNTY IN FLORIDA… SOUTHWESTERN LIBERTY COUNTY IN FLORIDA… EAST CENTRAL GULF COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… * UNTIL 515 PM EDT/415 PM CDT/ * AT 431 PM EDT…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SUMATRA…AND MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO CHIPOLA CUTOFF…WILLIS LANDING…WEWAHITCHKA…HOWARD CREEK… HONEYVILLE…FORT GADSDEN…DALKEITH AND BUCK SIDING

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WWUS72 KTAE 250724
NPWTAE

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
324 AM EDT WED JUL 25 2012

ALZ065>069-GAZ120>124-142-143-252300-
/O.EXA.KTAE.HT.Y.0002.120725T1800Z-120725T2300Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN- TERRELL-EARLY-MILLER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ENTERPRISE…OZARK…FORT RUCKER… DALEVILLE…HEADLAND…ABBEVILLE…GENEVA…HARTFORD…SAMSON… SLOCOMB…MALVERN…TAYLOR…ASHFORD…DOTHAN…KINSEY…
COWARTS…WEBB…COTTONWOOD…REHOBETH…GEORGETOWN…
FORT GAINES…CUTHBERT…SHELLMAN…ARLINGTON…MORGAN…EDISON… LEARY…DAWSON…DOUGLASVILLE…BLAKELY…COLQUITT
324 AM EDT WED JUL 25 2012 /224 AM CDT WED JUL 25 2012/

Heat Advisory in Effect From 2 PM EDT /1 PM Cdt/ This
Afternoon to 7 PM EDT /6 PM Cdt/ This Evening…

the National Weather Service in tallahassee has issued a heat advisory, which is in effect from 2 PM EDT /1 PM cdt/ this
afternoon to 7 PM EDT /6 PM cdt/ this evening.

* maximum air temperature(96 to) 99 degrees

* maximum heat index(108 to) 110 degrees

* impacts, these conditions will increase the risk of heat
related illnesses, such as heat exhaustion or heat stroke.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

a heat advisory means that a period of heat indices between
108 and 112 degrees is expected. the combination of hot
temperatures and high humidity will combine to create a situation in which heat illnesses are possible. drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors.

&&

Weather for Bay…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR… CENTRAL BAY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… * UNTIL 715 PM CDT * AT 613 PM CDT…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF LYNN HAVEN…OR 6 MILES WEST OF VICKSBURG…AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO PANAMA CITY BEACH…HILAND PARK…PANAMA CITY…SPRINGFIELD… CALLAWAY AND TYNDALL AFB

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Weather for Houston…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR… NORTHEASTERN JACKSON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… SOUTHEASTERN HOUSTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA… SEMINOLE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA… * UNTIL 630 PM EDT/530 PM CDT/ * AT 539 PM EDT…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR DONALSONVILLE…OR NEAR LITTLE HOPE…AND MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO RIVERTURN…LUCY…CHATTAHOOCHEE SP…STEAM MILL…HORNSVILLE… DESSER…BUENA VISTA…LOVEDALE…HAYNES AND BASCOM.

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bulletin – eas activation requested
severe thunderstorm warning
National Weather Service tallahassee fl
542 PM EDT tue jul 24 2012

the National Weather Service in tallahassee has issued a

* severe thunderstorm warning for,
northeastern jackson county in the panhandle of florida,
southeastern houston county in southeast alabama,
seminole county in southwest georgia…

* until 630 PM edt/530 PM cdt/

* at 539 PM EDT, the National Weather Service has detected a severe thunderstorm capable of producing damaging winds in excess of 60 mph. this storm was located near donalsonville, or near little hope, and moving southwest at 10 mph.

* other locations in the warning include but are not limited to riverturn, lucy, chattahoochee sp, steam mill, hornsville, desser, buena vista, lovedale, haynes and bascom.

precautionary/preparedness actions…

this is a dangerous storm. if you are in its path, prepare
immediately. people outside should move inside a strong building but away from windows.

&&

lat, lon 3107 8500 3107 8486 3105 8477 3080 8483
3092 8519 3108 8502
time, mot, loc 2142Z 024Deg 8Kt 3099 8493



More Rip Current Concerns Today, originally uploaded by wtvywxteam.

Always check the flags on the beach before going in the Gulf.

Sent from my HTC Rezound.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
356 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2012

SHORT TERM [Today Through Wednesday]…
Looking at the big picture, we see an upper level RIDGE extending
from the Central Plains east-southeastward across the MID South to
the Atlantic. To the south of this ridge, we see a tropical wave
moving west across FL. The subtropical ridge axis is north of the
area with LOW level FLOW out of the east. POPS today will be
influenced by the passing wave which will cross the eastern Gulf of
Mexico and favor increased convective coverage on its east side.
However, the deep layer ridging will suppress activity to the north.
We therefore maintain a north-south POP GRADIENT with LIKELY over
the Gulf and coastal zones and low end CHANCE (30) across the
northern half of the area north of U.S. 84. TEMPS will be close to
NORMAL in FL and a couple of degrees above across the north. By
Tuesday, the surface ridge axis will be south of the area once
again, a more favorable location for a more uniform PoP distribution
(generally 40-50). The upper ridge will build a bit to the east and
temps will respond upward by a couple of degrees. A FEW spots in the
counties bordering the Chattahoochee River could see peak heat
indices around 108 degrees, the lower end of our heat ADVISORY
criteria. PoPs on Wednesday will be close to CLIMO with afternoon
temps in the mid to upper 90s north of I-10. The sea breeze will
moderate temps somewhat to the south.

&&

.LONG TERM [Wednesday NIGHT through Saturday]…
The long term period begins aloft with the ridge in place across
the Southeast flattening and eventually weakening by the weekend AS
a TROUGH builds across the Mid Atlantic down the Eastern Seaboard.
Through Friday, the primary forcing mechanism for showers and
thunderstorms looks to be the sea breeze CIRCULATION. The pattern of
a weakening ridge supports RAIN chances at or just above
climatological values. By Saturday, the East Coast trough amplifies
as a piece of energy moves into the Carolinas forcing a weak frontal
boundary toward the Gulf Coast. This boundary will provide
additional forcing for afternoon storms.

Daytime temperatures throughout the period will initially be above
normal (mid to upper 90s), especially Thursday and Friday. However,
a slight downward trend is expected late in the period with
temperatures returning more toward normal.

&&

.AVIATION [through 06Z Tuesday]…
Areas of MVFR visibilities are expected across the region around
daybreak. These restrictions should end quickly by 13z at all sites.
Primary concern thereafter will be with THUNDERSTORM development.
Best chances are anticipated to be at TLH/VLD/ECP in the 18z to 22z
timeframe where tempos were used. Lower rain chances at DHN/ABY will
be handled with VCTS groups for the late afternoon hours.

&&

.MARINE…
Winds over the marine area are sustained around 15 KT this morning
with SEAS at the offshore buoy around 3 FT. As the ridge axis drops
southward the gradient will diminish allowing winds to veer to
onshore. By Tuesday and Wednesday, winds will have veered all the
way around to the west. Winds will then stay out of the west or
southwest through the end of the week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER…
With low level south to southwesterly flow persisting through much
of this week, MOISTURE levels are expected to remain well above
critical thresholds preventing red flag criteria from being MET.

Weather for Washington…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR… WESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… * UNTIL 445 PM CDT * AT 409 PM CDT…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MILLERS FERRY…OR NEAR NEW HOPE…AND MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LIVE OAK

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Weather for Calhoun…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR… NORTHEASTERN BAY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… CALHOUN COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… * UNTIL 415 PM CDT * AT 336 PM CDT…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CLARKSVILLE…AND MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO CHASON…CAMPS HEAD…MOOSE POND…CENTER LAKE…FOUNTAIN AND BETTS

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Weather for Bay…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR… NORTHEASTERN BAY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… CALHOUN COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA… * UNTIL 415 PM CDT * AT 336 PM CDT…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CLARKSVILLE…AND MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO CHASON…CAMPS HEAD…MOOSE POND…CENTER LAKE…FOUNTAIN AND BETTS

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